Traders have converged on 24°C as the highest temperature in Moscow on June 3 because official forecasts and real-time observations from Russian meteorological services and global models consistently project a daytime maximum of precisely that value under stable high-pressure conditions. This positioning reflects the current atmospheric setup, with light winds and limited cloud cover allowing typical early-June solar heating to reach but not exceed 24°C, consistent with climatological averages around 20–22°C for the date. The near-certain market-implied odds leave little room for deviation, as late-day updates from monitoring stations would need to show an unexpected surge from advection or reduced mixing to push readings higher. A rapid influx of cooler maritime air or increased precipitation could realistically cap the peak below this threshold, though model consensus indicates low probability of such shifts before the close of the observation period.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Moscow on June 3?
Highest temperature in Moscow on June 3?
24°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$186,489 Обс.
$186,489 Обс.
Jun 3, 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$186,489 Обс.
$186,489 Обс.
Jun 3, 2026
17°C or below
$1,894 Обс.
No
18°C
$1,940 Обс.
No
19°C
$4,413 Обс.
No
20°C
$3,054 Обс.
No
21°C
$26,727 Обс.
No
22°C
$101,560 Обс.
No
23°C
$7,422 Обс.
No
24°C
$15,824 Обс.
Yes
25°C
$12,586 Обс.
No
26°C
$7,160 Обс.
No
27°C or higher
$3,910 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 24°C as the highest temperature in Moscow on June 3 because official forecasts and real-time observations from Russian meteorological services and global models consistently project a daytime maximum of precisely that value under stable high-pressure conditions. This positioning reflects the current atmospheric setup, with light winds and limited cloud cover allowing typical early-June solar heating to reach but not exceed 24°C, consistent with climatological averages around 20–22°C for the date. The near-certain market-implied odds leave little room for deviation, as late-day updates from monitoring stations would need to show an unexpected surge from advection or reduced mixing to push readings higher. A rapid influx of cooler maritime air or increased precipitation could realistically cap the peak below this threshold, though model consensus indicates low probability of such shifts before the close of the observation period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 1, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Обсяг
$186,489Дата завершення
Jun 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 1, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 24°C as the highest temperature in Moscow on June 3 because official forecasts and real-time observations from Russian meteorological services and global models consistently project a daytime maximum of precisely that value under stable high-pressure conditions. This positioning reflects the current atmospheric setup, with light winds and limited cloud cover allowing typical early-June solar heating to reach but not exceed 24°C, consistent with climatological averages around 20–22°C for the date. The near-certain market-implied odds leave little room for deviation, as late-day updates from monitoring stations would need to show an unexpected surge from advection or reduced mixing to push readings higher. A rapid influx of cooler maritime air or increased precipitation could realistically cap the peak below this threshold, though model consensus indicates low probability of such shifts before the close of the observation period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$186,489Дата завершення
Jun 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 1, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Traders have converged on 24°C as the highest temperature in Moscow on June 3 because official forecasts and real-time observations from Russian meteorological services and global models consistently project a daytime maximum of precisely that value under stable high-pressure conditions. This positioning reflects the current atmospheric setup, with light winds and limited cloud cover allowing typical early-June solar heating to reach but not exceed 24°C, consistent with climatological averages around 20–22°C for the date. The near-certain market-implied odds leave little room for deviation, as late-day updates from monitoring stations would need to show an unexpected surge from advection or reduced mixing to push readings higher. A rapid influx of cooler maritime air or increased precipitation could realistically cap the peak below this threshold, though model consensus indicates low probability of such shifts before the close of the observation period.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання