Recent forecasts from multiple models position 18°C as the leading outcome for Munich’s maximum temperature on September 25, aligning with the historical average high of 18.2°C and current consensus projections of 17–19°C under mostly sunny, stable high-pressure conditions with minimal precipitation risk. Trader emphasis on 18°C and 19°C reflects tight model agreement and limited uncertainty two days out, while lower probabilities for 17°C or below account for slight cooling potential from northerly flow. Historical records show wide variability on this date, but the absence of strong warm advection or blocking patterns supports near-climatological values. Updated model runs and observational data ahead of the event remain key variables that could shift the distribution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Munich on September 25?
Highest temperature in Munich on September 25?
18°C 47%
19°C 34%
21°C 18%
20°C 17%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 25, 2026
12°C or below
2%
13°C
4%
14°C
4%
15°C
13%
16°C
9%
17°C
15%
18°C
47%
19°C
34%
20°C
17%
21°C
18%
22°C or higher
8%
18°C 47%
19°C 34%
21°C 18%
20°C 17%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 25, 2026
12°C or below
$0 Обс.
2%
13°C
$0 Обс.
4%
14°C
$0 Обс.
4%
15°C
$0 Обс.
13%
16°C
$0 Обс.
9%
17°C
$0 Обс.
15%
18°C
$46 Обс.
47%
19°C
$10 Обс.
34%
20°C
$0 Обс.
17%
21°C
$0 Обс.
18%
22°C or higher
$0 Обс.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models position 18°C as the leading outcome for Munich’s maximum temperature on September 25, aligning with the historical average high of 18.2°C and current consensus projections of 17–19°C under mostly sunny, stable high-pressure conditions with minimal precipitation risk. Trader emphasis on 18°C and 19°C reflects tight model agreement and limited uncertainty two days out, while lower probabilities for 17°C or below account for slight cooling potential from northerly flow. Historical records show wide variability on this date, but the absence of strong warm advection or blocking patterns supports near-climatological values. Updated model runs and observational data ahead of the event remain key variables that could shift the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$55Дата завершення
Sep 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models position 18°C as the leading outcome for Munich’s maximum temperature on September 25, aligning with the historical average high of 18.2°C and current consensus projections of 17–19°C under mostly sunny, stable high-pressure conditions with minimal precipitation risk. Trader emphasis on 18°C and 19°C reflects tight model agreement and limited uncertainty two days out, while lower probabilities for 17°C or below account for slight cooling potential from northerly flow. Historical records show wide variability on this date, but the absence of strong warm advection or blocking patterns supports near-climatological values. Updated model runs and observational data ahead of the event remain key variables that could shift the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$55Дата завершення
Sep 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models position 18°C as the leading outcome for Munich’s maximum temperature on September 25, aligning with the historical average high of 18.2°C and current consensus projections of 17–19°C under mostly sunny, stable high-pressure conditions with minimal precipitation risk. Trader emphasis on 18°C and 19°C reflects tight model agreement and limited uncertainty two days out, while lower probabilities for 17°C or below account for slight cooling potential from northerly flow. Historical records show wide variability on this date, but the absence of strong warm advection or blocking patterns supports near-climatological values. Updated model runs and observational data ahead of the event remain key variables that could shift the distribution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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