Current forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and Met Office indicate a maximum of 32–33°C for Tel Aviv on August 15 under seasonal high-pressure conditions typical of late Mediterranean summer. Model consensus and recent observations, including a slight temperature rise noted in the latest IMS update, support 33°C as the leading outcome with strong trader alignment at 72.5% implied probability. Historical August averages near 30–31°C and the absence of an active heatwave or anomalous warming on this date keep 34°C at a distant 25% while rendering higher thresholds below 1%. Updated official readings later today will determine resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 15?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 15?
33°C 73%
34°C 26%
32°C 4%
35°C <1%
НОВЕ
$18,826 Обс.
НОВЕ
$18,826 Обс.
Aug 15, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
73%
34°C
26%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 73%
34°C 26%
32°C 4%
35°C <1%
НОВЕ
$18,826 Обс.
НОВЕ
$18,826 Обс.
Aug 15, 2026
30°C or below
$488 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$1,651 Обс.
1%
32°C
$2,556 Обс.
4%
33°C
$5,574 Обс.
73%
34°C
$2,911 Обс.
26%
35°C
$1,430 Обс.
1%
36°C
$1,163 Обс.
<1%
37°C
$1,167 Обс.
<1%
38°C
$945 Обс.
<1%
39°C
$288 Обс.
<1%
40°C or higher
$654 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and Met Office indicate a maximum of 32–33°C for Tel Aviv on August 15 under seasonal high-pressure conditions typical of late Mediterranean summer. Model consensus and recent observations, including a slight temperature rise noted in the latest IMS update, support 33°C as the leading outcome with strong trader alignment at 72.5% implied probability. Historical August averages near 30–31°C and the absence of an active heatwave or anomalous warming on this date keep 34°C at a distant 25% while rendering higher thresholds below 1%. Updated official readings later today will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$18,826Дата завершення
Aug 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and Met Office indicate a maximum of 32–33°C for Tel Aviv on August 15 under seasonal high-pressure conditions typical of late Mediterranean summer. Model consensus and recent observations, including a slight temperature rise noted in the latest IMS update, support 33°C as the leading outcome with strong trader alignment at 72.5% implied probability. Historical August averages near 30–31°C and the absence of an active heatwave or anomalous warming on this date keep 34°C at a distant 25% while rendering higher thresholds below 1%. Updated official readings later today will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$18,826Дата завершення
Aug 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and Met Office indicate a maximum of 32–33°C for Tel Aviv on August 15 under seasonal high-pressure conditions typical of late Mediterranean summer. Model consensus and recent observations, including a slight temperature rise noted in the latest IMS update, support 33°C as the leading outcome with strong trader alignment at 72.5% implied probability. Historical August averages near 30–31°C and the absence of an active heatwave or anomalous warming on this date keep 34°C at a distant 25% while rendering higher thresholds below 1%. Updated official readings later today will determine resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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