Recent forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate overnight lows in Shanghai around 25–26°C on August 15, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 24.5–28.5% implied probability. Lingering moisture and increased cloud cover following Typhoon Dolphin’s landfall earlier in the week have limited radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures close to seasonal averages of 25–26°C despite typical August humidity near 77%. Model consensus shows stable steering patterns with scattered thunderstorms, though slight variations in cloud thickness or wind could shift the low by 1°C. Historical August minima rarely dip below 24°C absent major systems, while updated guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution thresholds for this daily temperature market.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 15?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 15?
26°C 29%
25°C 24%
27°C 13%
24°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 15, 2026
20°C or below
4%
21°C
5%
22°C
7%
23°C
6%
24°C
10%
25°C
24%
26°C
29%
27°C
13%
28°C
7%
29°C
7%
30°C or higher
4%
26°C 29%
25°C 24%
27°C 13%
24°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 15, 2026
20°C or below
$12 Обс.
4%
21°C
$12 Обс.
5%
22°C
$12 Обс.
7%
23°C
$18 Обс.
6%
24°C
$0 Обс.
10%
25°C
$0 Обс.
24%
26°C
$18 Обс.
29%
27°C
$0 Обс.
13%
28°C
$0 Обс.
7%
29°C
$12 Обс.
7%
30°C or higher
$12 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate overnight lows in Shanghai around 25–26°C on August 15, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 24.5–28.5% implied probability. Lingering moisture and increased cloud cover following Typhoon Dolphin’s landfall earlier in the week have limited radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures close to seasonal averages of 25–26°C despite typical August humidity near 77%. Model consensus shows stable steering patterns with scattered thunderstorms, though slight variations in cloud thickness or wind could shift the low by 1°C. Historical August minima rarely dip below 24°C absent major systems, while updated guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution thresholds for this daily temperature market.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Обсяг
$96Дата завершення
Aug 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate overnight lows in Shanghai around 25–26°C on August 15, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 24.5–28.5% implied probability. Lingering moisture and increased cloud cover following Typhoon Dolphin’s landfall earlier in the week have limited radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures close to seasonal averages of 25–26°C despite typical August humidity near 77%. Model consensus shows stable steering patterns with scattered thunderstorms, though slight variations in cloud thickness or wind could shift the low by 1°C. Historical August minima rarely dip below 24°C absent major systems, while updated guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution thresholds for this daily temperature market.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$96Дата завершення
Aug 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate overnight lows in Shanghai around 25–26°C on August 15, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 24.5–28.5% implied probability. Lingering moisture and increased cloud cover following Typhoon Dolphin’s landfall earlier in the week have limited radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures close to seasonal averages of 25–26°C despite typical August humidity near 77%. Model consensus shows stable steering patterns with scattered thunderstorms, though slight variations in cloud thickness or wind could shift the low by 1°C. Historical August minima rarely dip below 24°C absent major systems, while updated guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution thresholds for this daily temperature market.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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