Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 20°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, driven by real-time METAR observations and short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration showing peak readings around midday under persistent overcast skies and scattered showers. Overcast conditions have limited solar insolation, capping daytime heating in line with numerical model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF, which project subdued highs amid a cool air mass—consistent with Wuhan's late-April climatology averaging 21–22°C but moderated today by cloud cover. Scenarios challenging this include sudden clearing for afternoon solar warming to 21°C+ or a localized measurement anomaly, though minimal diurnal heating potential remains as evening approaches. Final airport data will confirm resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wuhan on April 29?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 29?
20°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$85,697 Обс.
$85,697 Обс.
Apr 29, 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$85,697 Обс.
$85,697 Обс.
Apr 29, 2026
16°C or below
$2,719 Обс.
No
17°C
$5,643 Обс.
No
18°C
$8,563 Обс.
No
19°C
$7,247 Обс.
No
20°C
$10,303 Обс.
Yes
21°C
$8,630 Обс.
No
22°C
$15,472 Обс.
No
23°C
$10,009 Обс.
No
24°C
$6,898 Обс.
No
25°C
$3,026 Обс.
No
26°C or higher
$7,186 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 20°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, driven by real-time METAR observations and short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration showing peak readings around midday under persistent overcast skies and scattered showers. Overcast conditions have limited solar insolation, capping daytime heating in line with numerical model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF, which project subdued highs amid a cool air mass—consistent with Wuhan's late-April climatology averaging 21–22°C but moderated today by cloud cover. Scenarios challenging this include sudden clearing for afternoon solar warming to 21°C+ or a localized measurement anomaly, though minimal diurnal heating potential remains as evening approaches. Final airport data will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 27, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
Обсяг
$85,697Дата завершення
Apr 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 27, 2026, 12:17 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 20°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, driven by real-time METAR observations and short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration showing peak readings around midday under persistent overcast skies and scattered showers. Overcast conditions have limited solar insolation, capping daytime heating in line with numerical model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF, which project subdued highs amid a cool air mass—consistent with Wuhan's late-April climatology averaging 21–22°C but moderated today by cloud cover. Scenarios challenging this include sudden clearing for afternoon solar warming to 21°C+ or a localized measurement anomaly, though minimal diurnal heating potential remains as evening approaches. Final airport data will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$85,697Дата завершення
Apr 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 27, 2026, 12:17 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 20°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, driven by real-time METAR observations and short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration showing peak readings around midday under persistent overcast skies and scattered showers. Overcast conditions have limited solar insolation, capping daytime heating in line with numerical model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF, which project subdued highs amid a cool air mass—consistent with Wuhan's late-April climatology averaging 21–22°C but moderated today by cloud cover. Scenarios challenging this include sudden clearing for afternoon solar warming to 21°C+ or a localized measurement anomaly, though minimal diurnal heating potential remains as evening approaches. Final airport data will confirm resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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