Louisiana's 1st Congressional District carries a strong Republican partisan lean, reflected in an R+19 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Republican ratings from nonpartisan analysts. Incumbent Steve Scalise, the House Majority Leader first elected in 2008, won 66.8 percent in 2024 and faces only limited primary opposition from Randall Arrington alongside Democratic challenger Lauren Jewett. Traders assign the Republican Party a 90.5 percent implied probability of victory in the November 2026 election due to this voting history and the incumbent's position. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen developments such as a significant scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unusually strong national Democratic performance in the midterm cycle.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLA-01 House Election Winner
LA-01 House Election Winner
$37,603 Обс.
$37,603 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
9%
$37,603 Обс.
$37,603 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$16,105 Обс.
91%
Democratic Party
$21,498 Обс.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana's 1st Congressional District carries a strong Republican partisan lean, reflected in an R+19 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Republican ratings from nonpartisan analysts. Incumbent Steve Scalise, the House Majority Leader first elected in 2008, won 66.8 percent in 2024 and faces only limited primary opposition from Randall Arrington alongside Democratic challenger Lauren Jewett. Traders assign the Republican Party a 90.5 percent implied probability of victory in the November 2026 election due to this voting history and the incumbent's position. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen developments such as a significant scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unusually strong national Democratic performance in the midterm cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$37,603Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana's 1st Congressional District carries a strong Republican partisan lean, reflected in an R+19 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Republican ratings from nonpartisan analysts. Incumbent Steve Scalise, the House Majority Leader first elected in 2008, won 66.8 percent in 2024 and faces only limited primary opposition from Randall Arrington alongside Democratic challenger Lauren Jewett. Traders assign the Republican Party a 90.5 percent implied probability of victory in the November 2026 election due to this voting history and the incumbent's position. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen developments such as a significant scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unusually strong national Democratic performance in the midterm cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$37,603Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Louisiana's 1st Congressional District carries a strong Republican partisan lean, reflected in an R+19 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Republican ratings from nonpartisan analysts. Incumbent Steve Scalise, the House Majority Leader first elected in 2008, won 66.8 percent in 2024 and faces only limited primary opposition from Randall Arrington alongside Democratic challenger Lauren Jewett. Traders assign the Republican Party a 90.5 percent implied probability of victory in the November 2026 election due to this voting history and the incumbent's position. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen developments such as a significant scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unusually strong national Democratic performance in the midterm cycle.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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