Current forecast models from sources like the GFS and China Meteorological Administration indicate a minimum temperature near 19°C for Beijing on September 18 under mostly cloudy skies with light southeast to northeast winds and possible scattered showers. This setup limits strong nocturnal radiative cooling while moderating daytime heating, keeping overnight lows in the upper teens. Trader sentiment remains closely balanced between sub-15°C and 24°C+ outcomes because ensemble spreads show sensitivity to cloud thickness, humidity levels near 70%, and any shift in steering winds that could enhance or suppress cooling. Historical September climatology places typical minima around 15–18°C, so the market-implied odds capture genuine uncertainty ahead of the next model updates and official briefings.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Beijing on September 18?
Lowest temperature in Beijing on September 18?
14°C or below 99%
24°C or higher 98%
16°C 40%
17°C 40%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 18, 2026
14°C or below
99%
15°C
39%
16°C
40%
17°C
40%
18°C
22%
19°C
20%
20°C
30%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C or higher
98%
14°C or below 99%
24°C or higher 98%
16°C 40%
17°C 40%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 18, 2026
14°C or below
$0 Обс.
99%
15°C
$0 Обс.
39%
16°C
$0 Обс.
40%
17°C
$0 Обс.
40%
18°C
$0 Обс.
22%
19°C
$0 Обс.
20%
20°C
$0 Обс.
30%
21°C
$0 Обс.
39%
22°C
$0 Обс.
39%
23°C
$0 Обс.
39%
24°C or higher
$0 Обс.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like the GFS and China Meteorological Administration indicate a minimum temperature near 19°C for Beijing on September 18 under mostly cloudy skies with light southeast to northeast winds and possible scattered showers. This setup limits strong nocturnal radiative cooling while moderating daytime heating, keeping overnight lows in the upper teens. Trader sentiment remains closely balanced between sub-15°C and 24°C+ outcomes because ensemble spreads show sensitivity to cloud thickness, humidity levels near 70%, and any shift in steering winds that could enhance or suppress cooling. Historical September climatology places typical minima around 15–18°C, so the market-implied odds capture genuine uncertainty ahead of the next model updates and official briefings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like the GFS and China Meteorological Administration indicate a minimum temperature near 19°C for Beijing on September 18 under mostly cloudy skies with light southeast to northeast winds and possible scattered showers. This setup limits strong nocturnal radiative cooling while moderating daytime heating, keeping overnight lows in the upper teens. Trader sentiment remains closely balanced between sub-15°C and 24°C+ outcomes because ensemble spreads show sensitivity to cloud thickness, humidity levels near 70%, and any shift in steering winds that could enhance or suppress cooling. Historical September climatology places typical minima around 15–18°C, so the market-implied odds capture genuine uncertainty ahead of the next model updates and official briefings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like the GFS and China Meteorological Administration indicate a minimum temperature near 19°C for Beijing on September 18 under mostly cloudy skies with light southeast to northeast winds and possible scattered showers. This setup limits strong nocturnal radiative cooling while moderating daytime heating, keeping overnight lows in the upper teens. Trader sentiment remains closely balanced between sub-15°C and 24°C+ outcomes because ensemble spreads show sensitivity to cloud thickness, humidity levels near 70%, and any shift in steering winds that could enhance or suppress cooling. Historical September climatology places typical minima around 15–18°C, so the market-implied odds capture genuine uncertainty ahead of the next model updates and official briefings.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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