Late August in the Sichuan Basin keeps Chengdu under a lingering subtropical high with high humidity and limited nocturnal radiative cooling, anchoring overnight lows near 24–26°C according to current National Meteorological Center guidance and ensemble models. Thunderstorm activity on the 27th could enhance cloud cover and slightly suppress the daily minimum, while clearer intervals would allow readings closer to 22°C or permit a brief spike above 28°C if subsidence strengthens. Historical climatology shows late-month averages around 23–25°C, yet interannual variability from monsoon remnants and basin inversions creates the tight spread in market-implied odds across the 21–30°C bands. Updated model runs and official minimum-temperature observations on the 26th will likely tighten these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Chengdu on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on August 27?
30°C or higher 55%
20°C or below 51%
23°C 48%
27°C 48%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 27, 2026
20°C or below
51%
21°C
30%
22°C
44%
23°C
48%
24°C
25%
25°C
28%
26°C
31%
27°C
48%
28°C
48%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
55%
30°C or higher 55%
20°C or below 51%
23°C 48%
27°C 48%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 27, 2026
20°C or below
$0 Обс.
51%
21°C
$0 Обс.
30%
22°C
$0 Обс.
44%
23°C
$0 Обс.
48%
24°C
$0 Обс.
25%
25°C
$0 Обс.
28%
26°C
$0 Обс.
31%
27°C
$0 Обс.
48%
28°C
$0 Обс.
48%
29°C
$0 Обс.
2%
30°C or higher
$0 Обс.
55%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Late August in the Sichuan Basin keeps Chengdu under a lingering subtropical high with high humidity and limited nocturnal radiative cooling, anchoring overnight lows near 24–26°C according to current National Meteorological Center guidance and ensemble models. Thunderstorm activity on the 27th could enhance cloud cover and slightly suppress the daily minimum, while clearer intervals would allow readings closer to 22°C or permit a brief spike above 28°C if subsidence strengthens. Historical climatology shows late-month averages around 23–25°C, yet interannual variability from monsoon remnants and basin inversions creates the tight spread in market-implied odds across the 21–30°C bands. Updated model runs and official minimum-temperature observations on the 26th will likely tighten these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Aug 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Late August in the Sichuan Basin keeps Chengdu under a lingering subtropical high with high humidity and limited nocturnal radiative cooling, anchoring overnight lows near 24–26°C according to current National Meteorological Center guidance and ensemble models. Thunderstorm activity on the 27th could enhance cloud cover and slightly suppress the daily minimum, while clearer intervals would allow readings closer to 22°C or permit a brief spike above 28°C if subsidence strengthens. Historical climatology shows late-month averages around 23–25°C, yet interannual variability from monsoon remnants and basin inversions creates the tight spread in market-implied odds across the 21–30°C bands. Updated model runs and official minimum-temperature observations on the 26th will likely tighten these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Aug 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Late August in the Sichuan Basin keeps Chengdu under a lingering subtropical high with high humidity and limited nocturnal radiative cooling, anchoring overnight lows near 24–26°C according to current National Meteorological Center guidance and ensemble models. Thunderstorm activity on the 27th could enhance cloud cover and slightly suppress the daily minimum, while clearer intervals would allow readings closer to 22°C or permit a brief spike above 28°C if subsidence strengthens. Historical climatology shows late-month averages around 23–25°C, yet interannual variability from monsoon remnants and basin inversions creates the tight spread in market-implied odds across the 21–30°C bands. Updated model runs and official minimum-temperature observations on the 26th will likely tighten these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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