Traders see 25–27°C as near-even favorites for Guangzhou’s September 13 minimum because official forecasts and model runs cluster in that narrow band amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80–95 percent, and scattered thunderstorms that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Subtropical monsoon conditions and light easterly flow keep the boundary layer warm, while historical September 13 lows average 24.4°C yet recent years have trended warmer. Small differences in forecast timing of rain or cloud breaks can shift the overnight low by 1–2°C, creating the tight market spread; cooler outcomes below 24°C remain low-probability absent an unexpected cold surge.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 13?
Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 13?
26°C 48%
24°C 47%
23°C 10%
21°C 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 13, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
4%
22°C
3%
23°C
10%
24°C
47%
25°C
48%
26°C
48%
27°C
49%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 48%
24°C 47%
23°C 10%
21°C 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 13, 2026
20°C or below
$75 Обс.
1%
21°C
$0 Обс.
4%
22°C
$0 Обс.
3%
23°C
$15 Обс.
10%
24°C
$11 Обс.
47%
25°C
$27 Обс.
48%
26°C
$5 Обс.
48%
27°C
$11 Обс.
49%
28°C
$15 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$15 Обс.
<1%
30°C or higher
$15 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see 25–27°C as near-even favorites for Guangzhou’s September 13 minimum because official forecasts and model runs cluster in that narrow band amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80–95 percent, and scattered thunderstorms that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Subtropical monsoon conditions and light easterly flow keep the boundary layer warm, while historical September 13 lows average 24.4°C yet recent years have trended warmer. Small differences in forecast timing of rain or cloud breaks can shift the overnight low by 1–2°C, creating the tight market spread; cooler outcomes below 24°C remain low-probability absent an unexpected cold surge.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$189Дата завершення
Sep 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see 25–27°C as near-even favorites for Guangzhou’s September 13 minimum because official forecasts and model runs cluster in that narrow band amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80–95 percent, and scattered thunderstorms that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Subtropical monsoon conditions and light easterly flow keep the boundary layer warm, while historical September 13 lows average 24.4°C yet recent years have trended warmer. Small differences in forecast timing of rain or cloud breaks can shift the overnight low by 1–2°C, creating the tight market spread; cooler outcomes below 24°C remain low-probability absent an unexpected cold surge.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$189Дата завершення
Sep 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Traders see 25–27°C as near-even favorites for Guangzhou’s September 13 minimum because official forecasts and model runs cluster in that narrow band amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80–95 percent, and scattered thunderstorms that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Subtropical monsoon conditions and light easterly flow keep the boundary layer warm, while historical September 13 lows average 24.4°C yet recent years have trended warmer. Small differences in forecast timing of rain or cloud breaks can shift the overnight low by 1–2°C, creating the tight market spread; cooler outcomes below 24°C remain low-probability absent an unexpected cold surge.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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