**Current model consensus from sources including the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global ensembles points to a minimum temperature near 26–27°C in Karachi on September 4, with limited overnight radiative cooling expected under partly to mostly cloudy skies and moderate westerly winds.** High humidity near 80% and dew points around 23–24°C will further suppress temperature drops, while any light coastal drizzle linked to residual monsoon moisture could add marginal warming. These conditions explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–27°C versus higher outcomes, with lower probabilities for 21°C or below reflecting historical rarity and the absence of strong clear-sky cooling or northerly advection. Updated PMD guidance and fresh GFS/ECMWF runs over the next 24 hours will refine the precise overnight minimum ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Karachi on September 4?
Lowest temperature in Karachi on September 4?
21°C or below 67%
31°C or higher 67%
22°C 49%
23°C 49%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 4, 2026
21°C or below
67%
22°C
49%
23°C
49%
24°C
49%
25°C
27%
26°C
28%
27°C
43%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
49%
31°C or higher
67%
21°C or below 67%
31°C or higher 67%
22°C 49%
23°C 49%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 4, 2026
21°C or below
$0 Обс.
67%
22°C
$0 Обс.
49%
23°C
$0 Обс.
49%
24°C
$0 Обс.
49%
25°C
$0 Обс.
27%
26°C
$0 Обс.
28%
27°C
$152 Обс.
43%
28°C
$0 Обс.
49%
29°C
$0 Обс.
49%
30°C
$0 Обс.
49%
31°C or higher
$0 Обс.
67%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current model consensus from sources including the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global ensembles points to a minimum temperature near 26–27°C in Karachi on September 4, with limited overnight radiative cooling expected under partly to mostly cloudy skies and moderate westerly winds.** High humidity near 80% and dew points around 23–24°C will further suppress temperature drops, while any light coastal drizzle linked to residual monsoon moisture could add marginal warming. These conditions explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–27°C versus higher outcomes, with lower probabilities for 21°C or below reflecting historical rarity and the absence of strong clear-sky cooling or northerly advection. Updated PMD guidance and fresh GFS/ECMWF runs over the next 24 hours will refine the precise overnight minimum ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$152Дата завершення
Sep 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current model consensus from sources including the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global ensembles points to a minimum temperature near 26–27°C in Karachi on September 4, with limited overnight radiative cooling expected under partly to mostly cloudy skies and moderate westerly winds.** High humidity near 80% and dew points around 23–24°C will further suppress temperature drops, while any light coastal drizzle linked to residual monsoon moisture could add marginal warming. These conditions explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–27°C versus higher outcomes, with lower probabilities for 21°C or below reflecting historical rarity and the absence of strong clear-sky cooling or northerly advection. Updated PMD guidance and fresh GFS/ECMWF runs over the next 24 hours will refine the precise overnight minimum ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$152Дата завершення
Sep 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Current model consensus from sources including the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global ensembles points to a minimum temperature near 26–27°C in Karachi on September 4, with limited overnight radiative cooling expected under partly to mostly cloudy skies and moderate westerly winds.** High humidity near 80% and dew points around 23–24°C will further suppress temperature drops, while any light coastal drizzle linked to residual monsoon moisture could add marginal warming. These conditions explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–27°C versus higher outcomes, with lower probabilities for 21°C or below reflecting historical rarity and the absence of strong clear-sky cooling or northerly advection. Updated PMD guidance and fresh GFS/ECMWF runs over the next 24 hours will refine the precise overnight minimum ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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