Trader consensus around 20–22°C for London's June 25 overnight low reflects Met Office ensemble guidance during the current extreme heat event, with high pressure suppressing cloud cover and limiting nocturnal radiative cooling under light winds. Recent model runs show slight divergence on Atlantic moisture influx that could raise or suppress the minimum by 1–2°C, keeping probabilities tightly clustered. Above the long-term June average of 11–12°C, these conditions favor warmer-than-normal readings while underscoring forecast sensitivity to boundary-layer humidity and urban heat-island effects ahead of the next model update.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in London on June 25?
Lowest temperature in London on June 25?
20°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$13,426 Обс.
$13,426 Обс.
Jun 25, 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$13,426 Обс.
$13,426 Обс.
Jun 25, 2026
15°C or below
$223 Обс.
No
16°C
$581 Обс.
No
17°C
$596 Обс.
No
18°C
$1,058 Обс.
No
19°C
$1,584 Обс.
No
20°C
$4,615 Обс.
Yes
21°C
$1,930 Обс.
No
22°C
$634 Обс.
No
23°C
$1,121 Обс.
No
24°C
$698 Обс.
No
25°C or higher
$385 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 20–22°C for London's June 25 overnight low reflects Met Office ensemble guidance during the current extreme heat event, with high pressure suppressing cloud cover and limiting nocturnal radiative cooling under light winds. Recent model runs show slight divergence on Atlantic moisture influx that could raise or suppress the minimum by 1–2°C, keeping probabilities tightly clustered. Above the long-term June average of 11–12°C, these conditions favor warmer-than-normal readings while underscoring forecast sensitivity to boundary-layer humidity and urban heat-island effects ahead of the next model update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$13,426Дата завершення
Jun 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 20–22°C for London's June 25 overnight low reflects Met Office ensemble guidance during the current extreme heat event, with high pressure suppressing cloud cover and limiting nocturnal radiative cooling under light winds. Recent model runs show slight divergence on Atlantic moisture influx that could raise or suppress the minimum by 1–2°C, keeping probabilities tightly clustered. Above the long-term June average of 11–12°C, these conditions favor warmer-than-normal readings while underscoring forecast sensitivity to boundary-layer humidity and urban heat-island effects ahead of the next model update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$13,426Дата завершення
Jun 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Trader consensus around 20–22°C for London's June 25 overnight low reflects Met Office ensemble guidance during the current extreme heat event, with high pressure suppressing cloud cover and limiting nocturnal radiative cooling under light winds. Recent model runs show slight divergence on Atlantic moisture influx that could raise or suppress the minimum by 1–2°C, keeping probabilities tightly clustered. Above the long-term June average of 11–12°C, these conditions favor warmer-than-normal readings while underscoring forecast sensitivity to boundary-layer humidity and urban heat-island effects ahead of the next model update.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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