Current forecast models from sources like the Met Office and European weather services point to clear skies and light winds over Madrid on September 22, promoting strong nighttime radiative cooling in the city's continental climate. This setup favors minimum temperatures of 14–16°C, aligning with the 50% market-implied probability for 14°C or below and the combined ~40% for 15–16°C. Late-September solar angles reduce daytime heating compared with mid-month peaks, while recent dry conditions have kept soil moisture low and enhanced temperature swings. Updated model runs show limited cloud cover through the night, though any unexpected moisture advection could raise lows above 16°C and shift odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Madrid on September 22?
Lowest temperature in Madrid on September 22?
14°C or below 100%
15°C 40%
16°C 39%
17°C 19%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 22, 2026
14°C or below
100%
15°C
40%
16°C
39%
17°C
19%
18°C
11%
19°C
7%
20°C
4%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
2%
14°C or below 100%
15°C 40%
16°C 39%
17°C 19%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 22, 2026
14°C or below
$0 Обс.
100%
15°C
$0 Обс.
40%
16°C
$0 Обс.
39%
17°C
$0 Обс.
19%
18°C
$0 Обс.
11%
19°C
$0 Обс.
7%
20°C
$0 Обс.
4%
21°C
$0 Обс.
2%
22°C
$0 Обс.
2%
23°C
$0 Обс.
2%
24°C or higher
$0 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like the Met Office and European weather services point to clear skies and light winds over Madrid on September 22, promoting strong nighttime radiative cooling in the city's continental climate. This setup favors minimum temperatures of 14–16°C, aligning with the 50% market-implied probability for 14°C or below and the combined ~40% for 15–16°C. Late-September solar angles reduce daytime heating compared with mid-month peaks, while recent dry conditions have kept soil moisture low and enhanced temperature swings. Updated model runs show limited cloud cover through the night, though any unexpected moisture advection could raise lows above 16°C and shift odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like the Met Office and European weather services point to clear skies and light winds over Madrid on September 22, promoting strong nighttime radiative cooling in the city's continental climate. This setup favors minimum temperatures of 14–16°C, aligning with the 50% market-implied probability for 14°C or below and the combined ~40% for 15–16°C. Late-September solar angles reduce daytime heating compared with mid-month peaks, while recent dry conditions have kept soil moisture low and enhanced temperature swings. Updated model runs show limited cloud cover through the night, though any unexpected moisture advection could raise lows above 16°C and shift odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like the Met Office and European weather services point to clear skies and light winds over Madrid on September 22, promoting strong nighttime radiative cooling in the city's continental climate. This setup favors minimum temperatures of 14–16°C, aligning with the 50% market-implied probability for 14°C or below and the combined ~40% for 15–16°C. Late-September solar angles reduce daytime heating compared with mid-month peaks, while recent dry conditions have kept soil moisture low and enhanced temperature swings. Updated model runs show limited cloud cover through the night, though any unexpected moisture advection could raise lows above 16°C and shift odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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