Forecast models from agencies including the National Weather Service equivalents indicate Madrid's minimum temperature on September 21 will likely fall near 15–16°C under clear skies, high pressure, and light variable winds that limit overnight cooling. This aligns with the 2026 seasonal pattern of stable anticyclonic conditions following a warmer-than-average September, where historical averages for the date sit at 14.6°C but recent observations show slightly elevated nighttime readings. Trader consensus placing the highest implied probability on 14°C or below reflects model spread in boundary-layer forecasts and the possibility of localized radiational cooling, while probabilities for 15°C or higher capture the most likely ensemble outcomes. Updated model runs and official station data from Madrid-Barajas or Retiro Park expected overnight will refine these near-term odds ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Madrid on September 21?
Lowest temperature in Madrid on September 21?
14°C or below 52%
16°C 40%
17°C 40%
15°C 21%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 21, 2026
14°C or below
52%
15°C
21%
16°C
40%
17°C
40%
18°C
12%
19°C
20%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
14°C or below 52%
16°C 40%
17°C 40%
15°C 21%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 21, 2026
14°C or below
$0 Обс.
52%
15°C
$0 Обс.
21%
16°C
$0 Обс.
40%
17°C
$0 Обс.
40%
18°C
$0 Обс.
12%
19°C
$0 Обс.
20%
20°C
$15 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$971 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$624 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$971 Обс.
<1%
24°C or higher
$885 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the National Weather Service equivalents indicate Madrid's minimum temperature on September 21 will likely fall near 15–16°C under clear skies, high pressure, and light variable winds that limit overnight cooling. This aligns with the 2026 seasonal pattern of stable anticyclonic conditions following a warmer-than-average September, where historical averages for the date sit at 14.6°C but recent observations show slightly elevated nighttime readings. Trader consensus placing the highest implied probability on 14°C or below reflects model spread in boundary-layer forecasts and the possibility of localized radiational cooling, while probabilities for 15°C or higher capture the most likely ensemble outcomes. Updated model runs and official station data from Madrid-Barajas or Retiro Park expected overnight will refine these near-term odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,456Дата завершення
Sep 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the National Weather Service equivalents indicate Madrid's minimum temperature on September 21 will likely fall near 15–16°C under clear skies, high pressure, and light variable winds that limit overnight cooling. This aligns with the 2026 seasonal pattern of stable anticyclonic conditions following a warmer-than-average September, where historical averages for the date sit at 14.6°C but recent observations show slightly elevated nighttime readings. Trader consensus placing the highest implied probability on 14°C or below reflects model spread in boundary-layer forecasts and the possibility of localized radiational cooling, while probabilities for 15°C or higher capture the most likely ensemble outcomes. Updated model runs and official station data from Madrid-Barajas or Retiro Park expected overnight will refine these near-term odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,456Дата завершення
Sep 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the National Weather Service equivalents indicate Madrid's minimum temperature on September 21 will likely fall near 15–16°C under clear skies, high pressure, and light variable winds that limit overnight cooling. This aligns with the 2026 seasonal pattern of stable anticyclonic conditions following a warmer-than-average September, where historical averages for the date sit at 14.6°C but recent observations show slightly elevated nighttime readings. Trader consensus placing the highest implied probability on 14°C or below reflects model spread in boundary-layer forecasts and the possibility of localized radiational cooling, while probabilities for 15°C or higher capture the most likely ensemble outcomes. Updated model runs and official station data from Madrid-Barajas or Retiro Park expected overnight will refine these near-term odds ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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