Recent official forecasts from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and global models indicate Manila's minimum temperature on September 2 will likely fall between 25–27°C, driven by persistent southwest monsoon flow, high humidity near 80–90%, and widespread cloud cover with showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions, typical of the peak rainy season, keep overnight lows elevated compared to drier periods. Trader odds clustering near 50% across 24–29°C outcomes reflect model spread in exact minimum timing and intensity of precipitation, while the negligible probability below 23°C aligns with climatological baselines showing rare sub-25°C readings in September without strong cold surges or clear skies. Updated model runs ahead of dawn will provide the next key data point for resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Manila on September 2?
Lowest temperature in Manila on September 2?
22°C 100%
24°C 100%
25°C 100%
26°C 100%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 2, 2026
21°C or below
99%
22°C
100%
23°C
5%
24°C
100%
25°C
100%
26°C
100%
27°C
51%
28°C
100%
29°C
99%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
22°C 100%
24°C 100%
25°C 100%
26°C 100%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 2, 2026
21°C or below
$5 Обс.
99%
22°C
$5 Обс.
100%
23°C
$21 Обс.
5%
24°C
$0 Обс.
100%
25°C
$0 Обс.
100%
26°C
$0 Обс.
100%
27°C
$0 Обс.
51%
28°C
$0 Обс.
100%
29°C
$1 Обс.
99%
30°C
$35 Обс.
<1%
31°C or higher
$35 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and global models indicate Manila's minimum temperature on September 2 will likely fall between 25–27°C, driven by persistent southwest monsoon flow, high humidity near 80–90%, and widespread cloud cover with showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions, typical of the peak rainy season, keep overnight lows elevated compared to drier periods. Trader odds clustering near 50% across 24–29°C outcomes reflect model spread in exact minimum timing and intensity of precipitation, while the negligible probability below 23°C aligns with climatological baselines showing rare sub-25°C readings in September without strong cold surges or clear skies. Updated model runs ahead of dawn will provide the next key data point for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Обсяг
$102Дата завершення
Sep 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and global models indicate Manila's minimum temperature on September 2 will likely fall between 25–27°C, driven by persistent southwest monsoon flow, high humidity near 80–90%, and widespread cloud cover with showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions, typical of the peak rainy season, keep overnight lows elevated compared to drier periods. Trader odds clustering near 50% across 24–29°C outcomes reflect model spread in exact minimum timing and intensity of precipitation, while the negligible probability below 23°C aligns with climatological baselines showing rare sub-25°C readings in September without strong cold surges or clear skies. Updated model runs ahead of dawn will provide the next key data point for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$102Дата завершення
Sep 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and global models indicate Manila's minimum temperature on September 2 will likely fall between 25–27°C, driven by persistent southwest monsoon flow, high humidity near 80–90%, and widespread cloud cover with showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions, typical of the peak rainy season, keep overnight lows elevated compared to drier periods. Trader odds clustering near 50% across 24–29°C outcomes reflect model spread in exact minimum timing and intensity of precipitation, while the negligible probability below 23°C aligns with climatological baselines showing rare sub-25°C readings in September without strong cold surges or clear skies. Updated model runs ahead of dawn will provide the next key data point for resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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