Persistent southwest monsoon flow and associated widespread cloud cover with scattered thunderstorms are the dominant drivers moderating overnight temperatures in Manila, limiting radiative cooling and keeping the minimum near 26–27°C according to the latest model consensus. High humidity levels above 85% combined with light to moderate southwesterly winds further stabilize the boundary layer, reducing the diurnal range typical of drier periods. Official PAGASA guidance and ensemble forecasts show only minor spread in the expected low, with any deviation hinging on the precise timing and intensity of convective activity overnight. Historical September climatology for the region supports this narrow range, as monsoon conditions consistently suppress both extreme highs and unusually cool nights.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Manila on September 3?
21°C or below 77%
31°C or higher 64%
23°C 49%
29°C 49%
21°C or below
77%
22°C
5%
23°C
49%
24°C
26%
25°C
29%
26°C
32%
27°C
32%
28°C
26%
29°C
49%
30°C
15%
31°C or higher
64%
21°C or below 77%
31°C or higher 64%
23°C 49%
29°C 49%
21°C or below
77%
22°C
5%
23°C
49%
24°C
26%
25°C
29%
26°C
32%
27°C
32%
28°C
26%
29°C
49%
30°C
15%
31°C or higher
64%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon flow and associated widespread cloud cover with scattered thunderstorms are the dominant drivers moderating overnight temperatures in Manila, limiting radiative cooling and keeping the minimum near 26–27°C according to the latest model consensus. High humidity levels above 85% combined with light to moderate southwesterly winds further stabilize the boundary layer, reducing the diurnal range typical of drier periods. Official PAGASA guidance and ensemble forecasts show only minor spread in the expected low, with any deviation hinging on the precise timing and intensity of convective activity overnight. Historical September climatology for the region supports this narrow range, as monsoon conditions consistently suppress both extreme highs and unusually cool nights.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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