Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) rains and extensive cloud cover over Metro Manila are the main drivers keeping overnight lows near seasonal norms around 25°C. Official PAGASA outlooks and short-range models project daily ranges of 24–31°C for September 7, with high humidity and frequent showers limiting nighttime radiative cooling that could otherwise allow drops below 24°C. Conversely, the same persistent cloudiness and lack of clear skies reduce the chance of daytime heating pushing the daily minimum above 26–27°C. Traders see near-even odds across bins because model spreads and measurement thresholds at official stations create genuine uncertainty between a typical 25°C low and modest deviations driven by rain timing or wind shifts. Updated PAGASA briefings and final station readings will resolve the market.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Manila on September 7?
21°C or below 69%
31°C or higher 69%
23°C 49%
27°C 49%
21°C or below
69%
22°C
20%
23°C
49%
24°C
28%
25°C
27%
26°C
30%
27°C
49%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
42%
31°C or higher
69%
21°C or below 69%
31°C or higher 69%
23°C 49%
27°C 49%
21°C or below
69%
22°C
20%
23°C
49%
24°C
28%
25°C
27%
26°C
30%
27°C
49%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
42%
31°C or higher
69%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 5, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) rains and extensive cloud cover over Metro Manila are the main drivers keeping overnight lows near seasonal norms around 25°C. Official PAGASA outlooks and short-range models project daily ranges of 24–31°C for September 7, with high humidity and frequent showers limiting nighttime radiative cooling that could otherwise allow drops below 24°C. Conversely, the same persistent cloudiness and lack of clear skies reduce the chance of daytime heating pushing the daily minimum above 26–27°C. Traders see near-even odds across bins because model spreads and measurement thresholds at official stations create genuine uncertainty between a typical 25°C low and modest deviations driven by rain timing or wind shifts. Updated PAGASA briefings and final station readings will resolve the market.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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