Recent model consensus from sources including the Hydrometeorological Center of Russia and international ensembles such as GFS points to a mild overnight low near 14–16 °C in Moscow on September 2, driven by persistent southerly flow, extensive cloud cover, and light precipitation that limit radiational cooling. Current surface observations show temperatures holding in the upper teens overnight, with dew points supporting minimal further drop. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 15 °C outcome (63.5 % implied probability) while leaving room for slight downward revision if clearer skies develop or if steering patterns shift. Historical September averages near 10.5 °C underscore the anomalous warmth, but short-range guidance shows no significant cold-air advection before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Moscow on September 2?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on September 2?
12°C 89%
14°C 78%
13°C 74%
17°C 74%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 2, 2026
11°C or below
11%
12°C
89%
13°C
74%
14°C
78%
15°C
64%
16°C
-
17°C
74%
18°C
74%
19°C
74%
20°C
23%
21°C or higher
8%
12°C 89%
14°C 78%
13°C 74%
17°C 74%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 2, 2026
11°C or below
$68 Обс.
11%
12°C
$6 Обс.
89%
13°C
$0 Обс.
74%
14°C
$0 Обс.
78%
15°C
$0 Обс.
64%
16°C
$5 Обс.
-
17°C
$0 Обс.
74%
18°C
$0 Обс.
74%
19°C
$5 Обс.
74%
20°C
$5 Обс.
23%
21°C or higher
$5 Обс.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the Hydrometeorological Center of Russia and international ensembles such as GFS points to a mild overnight low near 14–16 °C in Moscow on September 2, driven by persistent southerly flow, extensive cloud cover, and light precipitation that limit radiational cooling. Current surface observations show temperatures holding in the upper teens overnight, with dew points supporting minimal further drop. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 15 °C outcome (63.5 % implied probability) while leaving room for slight downward revision if clearer skies develop or if steering patterns shift. Historical September averages near 10.5 °C underscore the anomalous warmth, but short-range guidance shows no significant cold-air advection before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$94Дата завершення
Sep 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the Hydrometeorological Center of Russia and international ensembles such as GFS points to a mild overnight low near 14–16 °C in Moscow on September 2, driven by persistent southerly flow, extensive cloud cover, and light precipitation that limit radiational cooling. Current surface observations show temperatures holding in the upper teens overnight, with dew points supporting minimal further drop. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 15 °C outcome (63.5 % implied probability) while leaving room for slight downward revision if clearer skies develop or if steering patterns shift. Historical September averages near 10.5 °C underscore the anomalous warmth, but short-range guidance shows no significant cold-air advection before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$94Дата завершення
Sep 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including the Hydrometeorological Center of Russia and international ensembles such as GFS points to a mild overnight low near 14–16 °C in Moscow on September 2, driven by persistent southerly flow, extensive cloud cover, and light precipitation that limit radiational cooling. Current surface observations show temperatures holding in the upper teens overnight, with dew points supporting minimal further drop. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 15 °C outcome (63.5 % implied probability) while leaving room for slight downward revision if clearer skies develop or if steering patterns shift. Historical September averages near 10.5 °C underscore the anomalous warmth, but short-range guidance shows no significant cold-air advection before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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