Official observations from the National Weather Service's Central Park station (KNYC) in New York City confirm the lowest temperature on May 5, 2026, reached 56-57°F, driving unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability for that outcome as aggregated capital reflects verified data. This aligns with mild early-May climatology, where daily low temperatures typically average 52-55°F amid warming spring patterns, southerly airflow, and urban heat island effects that buffer extremes. Model forecasts from NOAA's Global Forecast System had anticipated mid-50s lows, matching the observed minimum from automated sensors. Realistic challenges are negligible post-initial reporting, though rare quality-control revisions by NOAA could adjust values if instrument anomalies emerge; finalized daily climate data expected soon.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in NYC on May 5?
Lowest temperature in NYC on May 5?
56-57°F 100.0%
51°F or below <1%
52-53°F <1%
54-55°F <1%
$30,664 Обс.
$30,664 Обс.
May 5, 2026
51°F or below
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
Yes
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70°F or higher
No
56-57°F 100.0%
51°F or below <1%
52-53°F <1%
54-55°F <1%
$30,664 Обс.
$30,664 Обс.
May 5, 2026
51°F or below
$5,204 Обс.
No
52-53°F
$2,855 Обс.
No
54-55°F
$2,517 Обс.
No
56-57°F
$6,295 Обс.
Yes
58-59°F
$2,813 Обс.
No
60-61°F
$1,268 Обс.
No
62-63°F
$2,558 Обс.
No
64-65°F
$1,815 Обс.
No
66-67°F
$760 Обс.
No
68-69°F
$455 Обс.
No
70°F or higher
$4,125 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the National Weather Service's Central Park station (KNYC) in New York City confirm the lowest temperature on May 5, 2026, reached 56-57°F, driving unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability for that outcome as aggregated capital reflects verified data. This aligns with mild early-May climatology, where daily low temperatures typically average 52-55°F amid warming spring patterns, southerly airflow, and urban heat island effects that buffer extremes. Model forecasts from NOAA's Global Forecast System had anticipated mid-50s lows, matching the observed minimum from automated sensors. Realistic challenges are negligible post-initial reporting, though rare quality-control revisions by NOAA could adjust values if instrument anomalies emerge; finalized daily climate data expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 3, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Обсяг
$30,664Дата завершення
May 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 3, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the National Weather Service's Central Park station (KNYC) in New York City confirm the lowest temperature on May 5, 2026, reached 56-57°F, driving unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability for that outcome as aggregated capital reflects verified data. This aligns with mild early-May climatology, where daily low temperatures typically average 52-55°F amid warming spring patterns, southerly airflow, and urban heat island effects that buffer extremes. Model forecasts from NOAA's Global Forecast System had anticipated mid-50s lows, matching the observed minimum from automated sensors. Realistic challenges are negligible post-initial reporting, though rare quality-control revisions by NOAA could adjust values if instrument anomalies emerge; finalized daily climate data expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$30,664Дата завершення
May 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 3, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Official observations from the National Weather Service's Central Park station (KNYC) in New York City confirm the lowest temperature on May 5, 2026, reached 56-57°F, driving unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability for that outcome as aggregated capital reflects verified data. This aligns with mild early-May climatology, where daily low temperatures typically average 52-55°F amid warming spring patterns, southerly airflow, and urban heat island effects that buffer extremes. Model forecasts from NOAA's Global Forecast System had anticipated mid-50s lows, matching the observed minimum from automated sensors. Realistic challenges are negligible post-initial reporting, though rare quality-control revisions by NOAA could adjust values if instrument anomalies emerge; finalized daily climate data expected soon.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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