Latest ensemble forecasts from global models indicate overnight lows in Paris on September 12 will likely settle between 12–14 °C, with the tight 12 °C versus 13 °C market split reflecting subtle differences in expected radiative cooling under partly clear skies and light northwest winds. High pressure and dew points near 13–14 °C limit further temperature drops, while minor variations in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could shift the minimum by 1 °C. Historical September averages near 12 °C provide context, but current guidance favors values slightly above that baseline. Final resolution hinges on the 00–06 UTC observations from Météo-France stations, with any last model updates before midnight likely to refine trader positioning.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Paris on September 12?
Lowest temperature in Paris on September 12?
13°C 37%
12°C 32%
11°C 24%
15°C 17%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 12, 2026
8°C or below
3%
9°C
2%
10°C
2%
11°C
24%
12°C
32%
13°C
37%
14°C
12%
15°C
17%
16°C
3%
17°C
2%
18°C or higher
2%
13°C 37%
12°C 32%
11°C 24%
15°C 17%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 12, 2026
8°C or below
$0 Обс.
3%
9°C
$0 Обс.
2%
10°C
$0 Обс.
2%
11°C
$845 Обс.
24%
12°C
$1,035 Обс.
32%
13°C
$3,171 Обс.
37%
14°C
$509 Обс.
12%
15°C
$0 Обс.
17%
16°C
$0 Обс.
3%
17°C
$0 Обс.
2%
18°C or higher
$0 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models indicate overnight lows in Paris on September 12 will likely settle between 12–14 °C, with the tight 12 °C versus 13 °C market split reflecting subtle differences in expected radiative cooling under partly clear skies and light northwest winds. High pressure and dew points near 13–14 °C limit further temperature drops, while minor variations in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could shift the minimum by 1 °C. Historical September averages near 12 °C provide context, but current guidance favors values slightly above that baseline. Final resolution hinges on the 00–06 UTC observations from Météo-France stations, with any last model updates before midnight likely to refine trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$5,559Дата завершення
Sep 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models indicate overnight lows in Paris on September 12 will likely settle between 12–14 °C, with the tight 12 °C versus 13 °C market split reflecting subtle differences in expected radiative cooling under partly clear skies and light northwest winds. High pressure and dew points near 13–14 °C limit further temperature drops, while minor variations in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could shift the minimum by 1 °C. Historical September averages near 12 °C provide context, but current guidance favors values slightly above that baseline. Final resolution hinges on the 00–06 UTC observations from Météo-France stations, with any last model updates before midnight likely to refine trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$5,559Дата завершення
Sep 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from global models indicate overnight lows in Paris on September 12 will likely settle between 12–14 °C, with the tight 12 °C versus 13 °C market split reflecting subtle differences in expected radiative cooling under partly clear skies and light northwest winds. High pressure and dew points near 13–14 °C limit further temperature drops, while minor variations in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could shift the minimum by 1 °C. Historical September averages near 12 °C provide context, but current guidance favors values slightly above that baseline. Final resolution hinges on the 00–06 UTC observations from Météo-France stations, with any last model updates before midnight likely to refine trader positioning.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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