**Trader consensus strongly favors a 13°C minimum in Paris on September 11, 2026, at 97.5% implied probability.** Current GFS-based forecasts and observational data indicate overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies will drive the daily low to this level, aligning with the 1991–2020 climatological average low near 12°C and recent September patterns. High pressure and light winds favor efficient heat loss after daytime highs around 24–25°C, with dew points supporting surface temperatures in the low teens Celsius by early morning. Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome include increased cloud cover or a stronger southerly flow raising the minimum above 14°C, though model agreement remains tight on the current trajectory with limited uncertainty in the final hours of the day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Paris on September 11?
Lowest temperature in Paris on September 11?
13°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$6,743 Обс.
$6,743 Обс.
Sep 11, 2026
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Yes
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
13°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$6,743 Обс.
$6,743 Обс.
Sep 11, 2026
10°C or below
$201 Обс.
No
11°C
$985 Обс.
No
12°C
$1,260 Обс.
No
13°C
$1,461 Обс.
Yes
14°C
$1,583 Обс.
No
15°C
$268 Обс.
No
16°C
$447 Обс.
No
17°C
$338 Обс.
No
18°C
$95 Обс.
No
19°C
$55 Обс.
No
20°C or higher
$50 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 13°C minimum in Paris on September 11, 2026, at 97.5% implied probability.** Current GFS-based forecasts and observational data indicate overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies will drive the daily low to this level, aligning with the 1991–2020 climatological average low near 12°C and recent September patterns. High pressure and light winds favor efficient heat loss after daytime highs around 24–25°C, with dew points supporting surface temperatures in the low teens Celsius by early morning.
Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome include increased cloud cover or a stronger southerly flow raising the minimum above 14°C, though model agreement remains tight on the current trajectory with limited uncertainty in the final hours of the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$6,743Дата завершення
Sep 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 13°C minimum in Paris on September 11, 2026, at 97.5% implied probability.** Current GFS-based forecasts and observational data indicate overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies will drive the daily low to this level, aligning with the 1991–2020 climatological average low near 12°C and recent September patterns. High pressure and light winds favor efficient heat loss after daytime highs around 24–25°C, with dew points supporting surface temperatures in the low teens Celsius by early morning.
Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome include increased cloud cover or a stronger southerly flow raising the minimum above 14°C, though model agreement remains tight on the current trajectory with limited uncertainty in the final hours of the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$6,743Дата завершення
Sep 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
**Trader consensus strongly favors a 13°C minimum in Paris on September 11, 2026, at 97.5% implied probability.** Current GFS-based forecasts and observational data indicate overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies will drive the daily low to this level, aligning with the 1991–2020 climatological average low near 12°C and recent September patterns. High pressure and light winds favor efficient heat loss after daytime highs around 24–25°C, with dew points supporting surface temperatures in the low teens Celsius by early morning. Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome include increased cloud cover or a stronger southerly flow raising the minimum above 14°C, though model agreement remains tight on the current trajectory with limited uncertainty in the final hours of the day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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