Recent forecasts indicate mostly stable high pressure over the Yellow Sea region, with Qingdao minimum temperatures on September 2 expected near 22°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies and light northerly flow. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 16–17°C versus slightly higher outcomes reflects model uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling rates, modulated by variable low-level humidity, wind speeds under 10 km/h, and possible marine-layer influence from the adjacent ocean. Clearer conditions or stronger advection of cooler continental air could push the daily low toward 16°C or below, while increased cloud cover or a weak sea breeze would favor readings near 17–18°C. Updated numerical guidance from regional models and official observations on September 1 will clarify these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Qingdao on September 2?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on September 2?
16°C or below 100%
20°C 100%
18°C 75%
19°C 75%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 2, 2026
16°C or below
100%
17°C
51%
18°C
75%
19°C
75%
20°C
100%
21°C
14%
22°C
43%
23°C
43%
24°C
42%
25°C
42%
26°C or higher
48%
16°C or below 100%
20°C 100%
18°C 75%
19°C 75%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 2, 2026
16°C or below
$0 Обс.
100%
17°C
$0 Обс.
51%
18°C
$0 Обс.
75%
19°C
$0 Обс.
75%
20°C
$0 Обс.
100%
21°C
$0 Обс.
14%
22°C
$0 Обс.
43%
23°C
$0 Обс.
43%
24°C
$0 Обс.
42%
25°C
$0 Обс.
42%
26°C or higher
$0 Обс.
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate mostly stable high pressure over the Yellow Sea region, with Qingdao minimum temperatures on September 2 expected near 22°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies and light northerly flow. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 16–17°C versus slightly higher outcomes reflects model uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling rates, modulated by variable low-level humidity, wind speeds under 10 km/h, and possible marine-layer influence from the adjacent ocean. Clearer conditions or stronger advection of cooler continental air could push the daily low toward 16°C or below, while increased cloud cover or a weak sea breeze would favor readings near 17–18°C. Updated numerical guidance from regional models and official observations on September 1 will clarify these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate mostly stable high pressure over the Yellow Sea region, with Qingdao minimum temperatures on September 2 expected near 22°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies and light northerly flow. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 16–17°C versus slightly higher outcomes reflects model uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling rates, modulated by variable low-level humidity, wind speeds under 10 km/h, and possible marine-layer influence from the adjacent ocean. Clearer conditions or stronger advection of cooler continental air could push the daily low toward 16°C or below, while increased cloud cover or a weak sea breeze would favor readings near 17–18°C. Updated numerical guidance from regional models and official observations on September 1 will clarify these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts indicate mostly stable high pressure over the Yellow Sea region, with Qingdao minimum temperatures on September 2 expected near 22°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies and light northerly flow. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 16–17°C versus slightly higher outcomes reflects model uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling rates, modulated by variable low-level humidity, wind speeds under 10 km/h, and possible marine-layer influence from the adjacent ocean. Clearer conditions or stronger advection of cooler continental air could push the daily low toward 16°C or below, while increased cloud cover or a weak sea breeze would favor readings near 17–18°C. Updated numerical guidance from regional models and official observations on September 1 will clarify these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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