Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with NOAA and regional analyses, indicate a minimum temperature in Qingdao on September 1 around 21–22°C under clear to mostly clear skies and moderate northerly winds. This reflects the seasonal shift from peak summer warmth, with coastal moderation limiting overnight cooling despite typical diurnal ranges. Trader sentiment, with 16°C or below at 49.5% implied probability leading amid clustered odds near 20–22°C, captures forecast uncertainty and potential model variability in exact minimums, consistent with historical early-September lows averaging near 18–21°C. Updated model runs and official observations in the final 48 hours will likely refine these market-implied odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Qingdao on September 1?
16°C or below 99%
17°C 50%
18°C 49%
19°C 49%
16°C or below
99%
17°C
50%
18°C
49%
19°C
49%
20°C
26%
21°C
26%
22°C
49%
23°C
2%
24°C
49%
25°C
49%
26°C or higher
48%
16°C or below 99%
17°C 50%
18°C 49%
19°C 49%
16°C or below
99%
17°C
50%
18°C
49%
19°C
49%
20°C
26%
21°C
26%
22°C
49%
23°C
2%
24°C
49%
25°C
49%
26°C or higher
48%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with NOAA and regional analyses, indicate a minimum temperature in Qingdao on September 1 around 21–22°C under clear to mostly clear skies and moderate northerly winds. This reflects the seasonal shift from peak summer warmth, with coastal moderation limiting overnight cooling despite typical diurnal ranges. Trader sentiment, with 16°C or below at 49.5% implied probability leading amid clustered odds near 20–22°C, captures forecast uncertainty and potential model variability in exact minimums, consistent with historical early-September lows averaging near 18–21°C. Updated model runs and official observations in the final 48 hours will likely refine these market-implied odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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