The closely matched probabilities around 58–61°F reflect genuine uncertainty in the precise overnight minimum recorded at official National Weather Service stations, driven by the strength and timing of the marine layer’s cool-air advection over the San Francisco Peninsula. Early-September climatology features Pacific sea-surface temperatures near 58–60°F that set a firm lower bound, while variable wind direction, cloud cover, and urban heat-island effects can shift the low by 2–4°F between downtown sensors and SFO. Recent model guidance and preliminary observations show minor disagreements on fog clearance timing, keeping adjacent temperature bins nearly equiprobable until final quality-controlled data are released.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in San Francisco on September 2?
Lowest temperature in San Francisco on September 2?
49°F or below 97%
50-51°F 97%
52-53°F 97%
62-63°F 97%
$330 Обс.
$330 Обс.
Sep 2, 2026
49°F or below
97%
50-51°F
97%
52-53°F
97%
54-55°F
88%
56-57°F
49%
58-59°F
51%
60-61°F
51%
62-63°F
97%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68°F or higher
<1%
49°F or below 97%
50-51°F 97%
52-53°F 97%
62-63°F 97%
$330 Обс.
$330 Обс.
Sep 2, 2026
49°F or below
$27 Обс.
97%
50-51°F
$37 Обс.
97%
52-53°F
$22 Обс.
97%
54-55°F
$17 Обс.
88%
56-57°F
$51 Обс.
49%
58-59°F
$0 Обс.
51%
60-61°F
$0 Обс.
51%
62-63°F
$37 Обс.
97%
64-65°F
$47 Обс.
<1%
66-67°F
$27 Обс.
<1%
68°F or higher
$65 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched probabilities around 58–61°F reflect genuine uncertainty in the precise overnight minimum recorded at official National Weather Service stations, driven by the strength and timing of the marine layer’s cool-air advection over the San Francisco Peninsula. Early-September climatology features Pacific sea-surface temperatures near 58–60°F that set a firm lower bound, while variable wind direction, cloud cover, and urban heat-island effects can shift the low by 2–4°F between downtown sensors and SFO. Recent model guidance and preliminary observations show minor disagreements on fog clearance timing, keeping adjacent temperature bins nearly equiprobable until final quality-controlled data are released.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 31, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$330Дата завершення
Sep 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 31, 2026, 7:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched probabilities around 58–61°F reflect genuine uncertainty in the precise overnight minimum recorded at official National Weather Service stations, driven by the strength and timing of the marine layer’s cool-air advection over the San Francisco Peninsula. Early-September climatology features Pacific sea-surface temperatures near 58–60°F that set a firm lower bound, while variable wind direction, cloud cover, and urban heat-island effects can shift the low by 2–4°F between downtown sensors and SFO. Recent model guidance and preliminary observations show minor disagreements on fog clearance timing, keeping adjacent temperature bins nearly equiprobable until final quality-controlled data are released.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$330Дата завершення
Sep 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 31, 2026, 7:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched probabilities around 58–61°F reflect genuine uncertainty in the precise overnight minimum recorded at official National Weather Service stations, driven by the strength and timing of the marine layer’s cool-air advection over the San Francisco Peninsula. Early-September climatology features Pacific sea-surface temperatures near 58–60°F that set a firm lower bound, while variable wind direction, cloud cover, and urban heat-island effects can shift the low by 2–4°F between downtown sensors and SFO. Recent model guidance and preliminary observations show minor disagreements on fog clearance timing, keeping adjacent temperature bins nearly equiprobable until final quality-controlled data are released.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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