Trader consensus shows tight uncertainty between 20°C and 21°C minima, with those outcomes leading at 37.5% and 39.5% implied probability. Short-range ensemble forecasts exhibit a narrow spread around these thresholds due to variable nocturnal cloud cover, boundary-layer humidity, and light wind regimes that modulate radiational cooling over the Seoul basin. Typical mid-June climatology features average lows near 18–20°C, yet current synoptic patterns favor modest suppression of cooling. Final model runs and official observations from the primary Seoul station will determine resolution, with any shift in predicted dew points or advection likely to tip the balance between the two frontrunners.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Seoul on June 20?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on June 20?
21°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$16,299 Обс.
$16,299 Обс.
Jun 20, 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$16,299 Обс.
$16,299 Обс.
Jun 20, 2026
17°C or below
$873 Обс.
No
18°C
$927 Обс.
No
19°C
$2,326 Обс.
No
20°C
$2,439 Обс.
No
21°C
$3,336 Обс.
Yes
22°C
$1,772 Обс.
No
23°C
$611 Обс.
No
24°C
$1,282 Обс.
No
25°C
$1,236 Обс.
No
26°C
$914 Обс.
No
27°C or higher
$582 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus shows tight uncertainty between 20°C and 21°C minima, with those outcomes leading at 37.5% and 39.5% implied probability. Short-range ensemble forecasts exhibit a narrow spread around these thresholds due to variable nocturnal cloud cover, boundary-layer humidity, and light wind regimes that modulate radiational cooling over the Seoul basin. Typical mid-June climatology features average lows near 18–20°C, yet current synoptic patterns favor modest suppression of cooling. Final model runs and official observations from the primary Seoul station will determine resolution, with any shift in predicted dew points or advection likely to tip the balance between the two frontrunners.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$16,299Дата завершення
Jun 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus shows tight uncertainty between 20°C and 21°C minima, with those outcomes leading at 37.5% and 39.5% implied probability. Short-range ensemble forecasts exhibit a narrow spread around these thresholds due to variable nocturnal cloud cover, boundary-layer humidity, and light wind regimes that modulate radiational cooling over the Seoul basin. Typical mid-June climatology features average lows near 18–20°C, yet current synoptic patterns favor modest suppression of cooling. Final model runs and official observations from the primary Seoul station will determine resolution, with any shift in predicted dew points or advection likely to tip the balance between the two frontrunners.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$16,299Дата завершення
Jun 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Trader consensus shows tight uncertainty between 20°C and 21°C minima, with those outcomes leading at 37.5% and 39.5% implied probability. Short-range ensemble forecasts exhibit a narrow spread around these thresholds due to variable nocturnal cloud cover, boundary-layer humidity, and light wind regimes that modulate radiational cooling over the Seoul basin. Typical mid-June climatology features average lows near 18–20°C, yet current synoptic patterns favor modest suppression of cooling. Final model runs and official observations from the primary Seoul station will determine resolution, with any shift in predicted dew points or advection likely to tip the balance between the two frontrunners.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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