Current ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models point to overnight lows of 26–28 °C in Shenzhen on August 27, shaped by the city’s humid subtropical climate, high humidity near 80–90 %, and persistent cloud cover that curbs radiative cooling. These conditions align with late-August climatology, where average minima reach 26–27 °C amid monsoon influences and frequent showers. Market-implied odds favoring 22 °C or below alongside 26–27 °C reflect trader assessment of model spread and any late intensification of rain that could modestly enhance cooling, while the low probability on 32 °C or higher underscores limited warming potential before dawn. Updated CMA guidance and next model runs will clarify exact minima ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 27?
22°C or below 77%
25°C 49%
29°C 48%
30°C 48%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 27, 2026
22°C or below
77%
23°C
46%
24°C
46%
25°C
49%
26°C
27%
27°C
34%
28°C
25%
29°C
48%
30°C
48%
31°C
48%
32°C or higher
2%
22°C or below 77%
25°C 49%
29°C 48%
30°C 48%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 27, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Обс.
77%
23°C
$0 Обс.
46%
24°C
$0 Обс.
46%
25°C
$0 Обс.
49%
26°C
$0 Обс.
27%
27°C
$0 Обс.
34%
28°C
$0 Обс.
25%
29°C
$0 Обс.
48%
30°C
$0 Обс.
48%
31°C
$0 Обс.
48%
32°C or higher
$0 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models point to overnight lows of 26–28 °C in Shenzhen on August 27, shaped by the city’s humid subtropical climate, high humidity near 80–90 %, and persistent cloud cover that curbs radiative cooling. These conditions align with late-August climatology, where average minima reach 26–27 °C amid monsoon influences and frequent showers. Market-implied odds favoring 22 °C or below alongside 26–27 °C reflect trader assessment of model spread and any late intensification of rain that could modestly enhance cooling, while the low probability on 32 °C or higher underscores limited warming potential before dawn. Updated CMA guidance and next model runs will clarify exact minima ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Aug 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models point to overnight lows of 26–28 °C in Shenzhen on August 27, shaped by the city’s humid subtropical climate, high humidity near 80–90 %, and persistent cloud cover that curbs radiative cooling. These conditions align with late-August climatology, where average minima reach 26–27 °C amid monsoon influences and frequent showers. Market-implied odds favoring 22 °C or below alongside 26–27 °C reflect trader assessment of model spread and any late intensification of rain that could modestly enhance cooling, while the low probability on 32 °C or higher underscores limited warming potential before dawn. Updated CMA guidance and next model runs will clarify exact minima ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Aug 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models point to overnight lows of 26–28 °C in Shenzhen on August 27, shaped by the city’s humid subtropical climate, high humidity near 80–90 %, and persistent cloud cover that curbs radiative cooling. These conditions align with late-August climatology, where average minima reach 26–27 °C amid monsoon influences and frequent showers. Market-implied odds favoring 22 °C or below alongside 26–27 °C reflect trader assessment of model spread and any late intensification of rain that could modestly enhance cooling, while the low probability on 32 °C or higher underscores limited warming potential before dawn. Updated CMA guidance and next model runs will clarify exact minima ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання