Latest global model consensus points to an overnight low near 23–25 °C in Tel Aviv on September 16, driven by clear skies, light northerly flow, and strong radiative cooling after a warm day. This places the most probable minimum in the 22–24 °C range, where small differences in cloud timing, wind speed, or urban heat-island effects at the official measurement site can shift the exact hourly minimum by 1–2 °C. Above-normal warmth persisting into mid-September has kept probabilities for 20 °C or below from rising further, while the Mediterranean’s moderating influence and typical September climatology (average low ~21 °C) limit upside risk above 25 °C. Final NHC-style guidance and local station data before midnight local time will resolve remaining model spread.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 16?
20°C or below 46%
22°C 40%
21°C 39%
25°C 14%
20°C or below
46%
21°C
39%
22°C
40%
23°C
41%
24°C
41%
25°C
14%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
20°C or below 46%
22°C 40%
21°C 39%
25°C 14%
20°C or below
46%
21°C
39%
22°C
40%
23°C
41%
24°C
41%
25°C
14%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Latest global model consensus points to an overnight low near 23–25 °C in Tel Aviv on September 16, driven by clear skies, light northerly flow, and strong radiative cooling after a warm day. This places the most probable minimum in the 22–24 °C range, where small differences in cloud timing, wind speed, or urban heat-island effects at the official measurement site can shift the exact hourly minimum by 1–2 °C. Above-normal warmth persisting into mid-September has kept probabilities for 20 °C or below from rising further, while the Mediterranean’s moderating influence and typical September climatology (average low ~21 °C) limit upside risk above 25 °C. Final NHC-style guidance and local station data before midnight local time will resolve remaining model spread.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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