Divergence among ensemble weather models is the main driver behind the closely matched implied probabilities, with 23°C leading at 37% and 24°C at 29% as traders weigh the latest runs from global and regional forecasting systems. Mediterranean Sea surface temperatures and onshore flow typically moderate nocturnal cooling in Tel Aviv during mid-September, while variable cloud cover, humidity levels, and light wind patterns can shift minimum readings by 1–3°C. Historical climatology shows average lows near 22°C, yet short-term uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any passing upper-level features keeps outcomes from 19°C or below (23%) through 25°C (20.5%) in play. Fresh model updates and local station observations will likely refine the range before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 17?
Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 17?
19°C or below 41%
29°C or higher 41%
20°C 38%
23°C 38%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 17, 2026
19°C or below
41%
20°C
38%
21°C
10%
22°C
21%
23°C
38%
24°C
30%
25°C
21%
26°C
15%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C or higher
41%
19°C or below 41%
29°C or higher 41%
20°C 38%
23°C 38%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 17, 2026
19°C or below
$0 Обс.
41%
20°C
$0 Обс.
38%
21°C
$96 Обс.
10%
22°C
$75 Обс.
21%
23°C
$0 Обс.
38%
24°C
$9 Обс.
30%
25°C
$0 Обс.
21%
26°C
$0 Обс.
15%
27°C
$0 Обс.
2%
28°C
$0 Обс.
2%
29°C or higher
$0 Обс.
41%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Divergence among ensemble weather models is the main driver behind the closely matched implied probabilities, with 23°C leading at 37% and 24°C at 29% as traders weigh the latest runs from global and regional forecasting systems. Mediterranean Sea surface temperatures and onshore flow typically moderate nocturnal cooling in Tel Aviv during mid-September, while variable cloud cover, humidity levels, and light wind patterns can shift minimum readings by 1–3°C. Historical climatology shows average lows near 22°C, yet short-term uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any passing upper-level features keeps outcomes from 19°C or below (23%) through 25°C (20.5%) in play. Fresh model updates and local station observations will likely refine the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$180Дата завершення
Sep 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Divergence among ensemble weather models is the main driver behind the closely matched implied probabilities, with 23°C leading at 37% and 24°C at 29% as traders weigh the latest runs from global and regional forecasting systems. Mediterranean Sea surface temperatures and onshore flow typically moderate nocturnal cooling in Tel Aviv during mid-September, while variable cloud cover, humidity levels, and light wind patterns can shift minimum readings by 1–3°C. Historical climatology shows average lows near 22°C, yet short-term uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any passing upper-level features keeps outcomes from 19°C or below (23%) through 25°C (20.5%) in play. Fresh model updates and local station observations will likely refine the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$180Дата завершення
Sep 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Divergence among ensemble weather models is the main driver behind the closely matched implied probabilities, with 23°C leading at 37% and 24°C at 29% as traders weigh the latest runs from global and regional forecasting systems. Mediterranean Sea surface temperatures and onshore flow typically moderate nocturnal cooling in Tel Aviv during mid-September, while variable cloud cover, humidity levels, and light wind patterns can shift minimum readings by 1–3°C. Historical climatology shows average lows near 22°C, yet short-term uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any passing upper-level features keeps outcomes from 19°C or below (23%) through 25°C (20.5%) in play. Fresh model updates and local station observations will likely refine the range before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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