**Forecasts for Wellington on August 23 indicate overnight lows potentially reaching 5–8°C amid a southerly wind shift and clearing skies following northwest flows and rain on the 22nd.** Multiple models show early-morning temperatures dropping to 5–6°C under reduced cloud cover and lighter winds, while persistent marine influence or delayed clearing could hold minima near 8–10°C. This uncertainty in radiational cooling, exact frontal timing, and local topography drives the dispersed market odds, with 5°C or below leading at 31% implied probability as traders weigh the latest ECMWF and GFS runs against typical late-winter baselines of 7–9°C. Updated official guidance from MetService or NHC-equivalent agencies ahead of resolution will likely refine these ranges.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Wellington on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Wellington on August 23?
10°C 30%
5°C or below 23%
11°C 23%
13°C 19%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 23, 2026
5°C or below
23%
6°C
7%
7°C
11%
8°C
13%
9°C
7%
10°C
30%
11°C
23%
12°C
18%
13°C
19%
14°C
8%
15°C or higher
<1%
10°C 30%
5°C or below 23%
11°C 23%
13°C 19%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 23, 2026
5°C or below
$32 Обс.
23%
6°C
$20 Обс.
7%
7°C
$20 Обс.
11%
8°C
$0 Обс.
13%
9°C
$0 Обс.
7%
10°C
$0 Обс.
30%
11°C
$4 Обс.
23%
12°C
$55 Обс.
18%
13°C
$27 Обс.
19%
14°C
$5 Обс.
8%
15°C or higher
$27 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts for Wellington on August 23 indicate overnight lows potentially reaching 5–8°C amid a southerly wind shift and clearing skies following northwest flows and rain on the 22nd.** Multiple models show early-morning temperatures dropping to 5–6°C under reduced cloud cover and lighter winds, while persistent marine influence or delayed clearing could hold minima near 8–10°C. This uncertainty in radiational cooling, exact frontal timing, and local topography drives the dispersed market odds, with 5°C or below leading at 31% implied probability as traders weigh the latest ECMWF and GFS runs against typical late-winter baselines of 7–9°C. Updated official guidance from MetService or NHC-equivalent agencies ahead of resolution will likely refine these ranges.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$189Дата завершення
Aug 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts for Wellington on August 23 indicate overnight lows potentially reaching 5–8°C amid a southerly wind shift and clearing skies following northwest flows and rain on the 22nd.** Multiple models show early-morning temperatures dropping to 5–6°C under reduced cloud cover and lighter winds, while persistent marine influence or delayed clearing could hold minima near 8–10°C. This uncertainty in radiational cooling, exact frontal timing, and local topography drives the dispersed market odds, with 5°C or below leading at 31% implied probability as traders weigh the latest ECMWF and GFS runs against typical late-winter baselines of 7–9°C. Updated official guidance from MetService or NHC-equivalent agencies ahead of resolution will likely refine these ranges.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$189Дата завершення
Aug 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecasts for Wellington on August 23 indicate overnight lows potentially reaching 5–8°C amid a southerly wind shift and clearing skies following northwest flows and rain on the 22nd.** Multiple models show early-morning temperatures dropping to 5–6°C under reduced cloud cover and lighter winds, while persistent marine influence or delayed clearing could hold minima near 8–10°C. This uncertainty in radiational cooling, exact frontal timing, and local topography drives the dispersed market odds, with 5°C or below leading at 31% implied probability as traders weigh the latest ECMWF and GFS runs against typical late-winter baselines of 7–9°C. Updated official guidance from MetService or NHC-equivalent agencies ahead of resolution will likely refine these ranges.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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