Democrat Deb Haaland maintains a commanding lead in the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial race, reflected in the 92.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee, driven by the state's consistent Democratic tilt in recent statewide contests, her strong name recognition as former U.S. Interior Secretary, and decisive primary victory. A late-August BSP Research poll showed her ahead 41% to 24% against Republican Gregg Hull, with 27% undecided, underscoring solidified party support and urban advantages in areas like Albuquerque. Forecasters rate the open-seat contest Solid or Likely Democratic ahead of the November 3 vote. Factors that could narrow the gap include shifts among undecided independents, stronger rural turnout for Hull, or major late-breaking developments that alter campaign dynamics before election day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNew Mexico Governor Election Winner
New Mexico Governor Election Winner
$33,702 Обс.
$33,702 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Democrat
93%
Republican
6%
$33,702 Обс.
$33,702 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Democrat
$18,689 Обс.
93%
Republican
$15,013 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democrat Deb Haaland maintains a commanding lead in the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial race, reflected in the 92.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee, driven by the state's consistent Democratic tilt in recent statewide contests, her strong name recognition as former U.S. Interior Secretary, and decisive primary victory. A late-August BSP Research poll showed her ahead 41% to 24% against Republican Gregg Hull, with 27% undecided, underscoring solidified party support and urban advantages in areas like Albuquerque. Forecasters rate the open-seat contest Solid or Likely Democratic ahead of the November 3 vote. Factors that could narrow the gap include shifts among undecided independents, stronger rural turnout for Hull, or major late-breaking developments that alter campaign dynamics before election day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Ринок відкрито: Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
Обсяг
$33,702Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democrat Deb Haaland maintains a commanding lead in the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial race, reflected in the 92.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee, driven by the state's consistent Democratic tilt in recent statewide contests, her strong name recognition as former U.S. Interior Secretary, and decisive primary victory. A late-August BSP Research poll showed her ahead 41% to 24% against Republican Gregg Hull, with 27% undecided, underscoring solidified party support and urban advantages in areas like Albuquerque. Forecasters rate the open-seat contest Solid or Likely Democratic ahead of the November 3 vote. Factors that could narrow the gap include shifts among undecided independents, stronger rural turnout for Hull, or major late-breaking developments that alter campaign dynamics before election day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Обсяг
$33,702Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Democrat Deb Haaland maintains a commanding lead in the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial race, reflected in the 92.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee, driven by the state's consistent Democratic tilt in recent statewide contests, her strong name recognition as former U.S. Interior Secretary, and decisive primary victory. A late-August BSP Research poll showed her ahead 41% to 24% against Republican Gregg Hull, with 27% undecided, underscoring solidified party support and urban advantages in areas like Albuquerque. Forecasters rate the open-seat contest Solid or Likely Democratic ahead of the November 3 vote. Factors that could narrow the gap include shifts among undecided independents, stronger rural turnout for Hull, or major late-breaking developments that alter campaign dynamics before election day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання