Virginia Democrats advanced a constitutional amendment and new congressional map in early 2026 that would have shifted the state's 11 districts toward a projected 10-1 Democratic advantage for the November midterms. Voters narrowly approved the referendum in April, but the Virginia Supreme Court ruled the process unconstitutional in May due to procedural violations of the state charter's intervening-election requirement. The U.S. Supreme Court declined further intervention, the May map-change deadline passed, and Governor Abigail Spanberger confirmed the 2021 map remains in effect. With primaries scheduled for August 4 and no active legal path to alter districts, traders assign overwhelming probability against a new map. Residual uncertainty rests on any unforeseen last-minute judicial reversal before November, though current timelines and rulings make such shifts improbable.