Virginia Democrats advanced a constitutional amendment and new congressional map in early 2026 that would have enabled mid-decade redistricting, potentially shifting the current 6-5 partisan split toward a 10-1 Democratic advantage for the November midterms. Voters approved the referendum in April, yet the Virginia Supreme Court invalidated the measure on May 8 for procedural violations during legislative placement on the ballot, and the U.S. Supreme Court declined further review in mid-May. These rulings locked in the 2021 map drawn by special masters, with no alternative mechanism or scheduled vote remaining before the election. Trader consensus at 96% reflects the absence of viable pathways forward absent unforeseen court reversals or new legislative initiatives that would require another full amendment cycle.