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icon for RFK Jr. Out by December 31?

RFK Jr. Out by December 31?

icon for RFK Jr. Out by December 31?

RFK Jr. Out by December 31?

Oct 31

Dec 31

Oct 31

Dec 31

21% шанс
Polymarket

$24,754 Обс.

21% шанс
Polymarket

$24,754 Обс.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.) ceases to be United States Secretary of Health and Human Services (HHS) for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.)'s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.) and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**RFK Jr. remains actively engaged as HHS Secretary in September 2026, with recent public appearances at the Republican midterm convention promoting the administration’s Make America Healthy Again agenda and calling for a GOP Congress.** He continues implementing policy shifts, leadership reorganizations, and chronic disease initiatives while facing staff reductions, vaccine policy debates, and internal criticism including a letter from over 1,000 HHS employees urging his resignation. No official statements or credible reporting indicate plans for departure, and White House alignment appears steady. Traders assign a 74% implied probability to “No” based on this continuity, historical cabinet tenure patterns absent major scandals or presidential changes, and the absence of imminent triggers like confirmation issues or administration realignments before year-end.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.) ceases to be United States Secretary of Health and Human Services (HHS) for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.)'s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.) and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.) ceases to be United States Secretary of Health and Human Services (HHS) for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.)'s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.) and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$24,754
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Mar 19, 2026, 2:02 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.) ceases to be United States Secretary of Health and Human Services (HHS) for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.)'s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.) and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**RFK Jr. remains actively engaged as HHS Secretary in September 2026, with recent public appearances at the Republican midterm convention promoting the administration’s Make America Healthy Again agenda and calling for a GOP Congress.** He continues implementing policy shifts, leadership reorganizations, and chronic disease initiatives while facing staff reductions, vaccine policy debates, and internal criticism including a letter from over 1,000 HHS employees urging his resignation. No official statements or credible reporting indicate plans for departure, and White House alignment appears steady. Traders assign a 74% implied probability to “No” based on this continuity, historical cabinet tenure patterns absent major scandals or presidential changes, and the absence of imminent triggers like confirmation issues or administration realignments before year-end.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.) ceases to be United States Secretary of Health and Human Services (HHS) for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.)'s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.) and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.) ceases to be United States Secretary of Health and Human Services (HHS) for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.)'s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.) and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$24,754
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Mar 19, 2026, 2:02 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«RFK Jr. Out by December 31?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 21% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 21¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 21%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «RFK Jr. Out by December 31?» згенерував $24.8K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Mar 19, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «RFK Jr. Out by December 31?», просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «RFK Jr. Out by December 31?» — 21% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 21% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

Правила вирішення для «RFK Jr. Out by December 31?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.