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Політика·Трамп

Хто покине адміністрацію Трампа до 2027 року?

icon for Хто покине адміністрацію Трампа до 2027 року?
Політика·Трамп

Хто покине адміністрацію Трампа до 2027 року?

Jan 1, 2027

Jan 1, 2027

$1,400,751 Обс.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$1,400,751 Обс.

Polymarket

Крісті Ноем

$97,520 Обс.

40%

Ден Скавіно

$137 Обс.

29%

Говард Лутнік

$94,437 Обс.

25%

Сьюзі Вайлз

$55,831 Обс.

24%

Каш Пател

$304,006 Обс.

23%

Піт Хегсет

$126,694 Обс.

22%

Девід Сакс

$9,151 Обс.

22%

Лі Зелдін

$31,760 Обс.

22%

Markwayne Mullin

$2,631 Обс.

25%

Том Хоуман

$187 Обс.

26%

Джон Реткліфф

$554 Обс.

13%

Роберт Ф. Кеннеді-молодший

$90,850 Обс.

13%

Стівен Міллер

$3,769 Обс.

12%

Рассел Воут

$284 Обс.

17%

Скотт Бессент

$7,892 Обс.

9%

Марко Рубіо

$19,710 Обс.

8%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.The second Trump administration has seen elevated turnover, with roughly one-quarter of non-Senate-confirmed appointees departing in the first 18 months—more than double the pace under recent predecessors—driven by aggressive agency downsizing, reductions in force across departments like Commerce, Treasury, and Homeland Security, and repeated leadership changes at the Cabinet level. Notable exits through mid-2026 include DHS Secretary Kristi Noem, Attorney General Pam Bondi, Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer, DNI Tulsi Gabbard (for family medical reasons), and White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt (family-related, effective late August). Pentagon churn under Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, legal staff attrition exceeding 10,000 lawyers, and recent court blocks on FEMA staffing cuts have added to instability. Traders price higher departure probabilities for officials facing policy friction or loyalty questions, while personal exits and midterm dynamics through December 2026 remain key variables that could shift consensus on individual outcomes.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Обсяг
$1,400,751
Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Jul 15, 2026, 3:55 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.The second Trump administration has seen elevated turnover, with roughly one-quarter of non-Senate-confirmed appointees departing in the first 18 months—more than double the pace under recent predecessors—driven by aggressive agency downsizing, reductions in force across departments like Commerce, Treasury, and Homeland Security, and repeated leadership changes at the Cabinet level. Notable exits through mid-2026 include DHS Secretary Kristi Noem, Attorney General Pam Bondi, Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer, DNI Tulsi Gabbard (for family medical reasons), and White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt (family-related, effective late August). Pentagon churn under Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, legal staff attrition exceeding 10,000 lawyers, and recent court blocks on FEMA staffing cuts have added to instability. Traders price higher departure probabilities for officials facing policy friction or loyalty questions, while personal exits and midterm dynamics through December 2026 remain key variables that could shift consensus on individual outcomes.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Обсяг
$1,400,751
Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Jul 15, 2026, 3:55 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...

Пов'язане

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Will Trump resign before 2027?

3%
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Трамп залишить посаду президента до 2027 року?

7%
Так
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Чи піде Трамп у відставку до 31 грудня 2026 року?

3%
Так

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Хто покине адміністрацію Трампа до 2027 року?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 21 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Керолін Левітт» з 100%, далі «Тулсі Габбард» з 100%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Хто покине адміністрацію Трампа до 2027 року?» згенерував $1.4 million загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Nov 5, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Хто покине адміністрацію Трампа до 2027 року?», перегляньте 21 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Хто покине адміністрацію Трампа до 2027 року?» — «Керолін Левітт» з 100%. Наступний — «Тулсі Габбард» з 100%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Хто покине адміністрацію Трампа до 2027 року?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.