Recent U.S. trade data show the goods and services deficit widening to $88.6 billion in July 2026 from $71.2 billion in June, driven by a 2.8% rise in imports of computers, semiconductors, and related capital goods tied to AI infrastructure, alongside a 2.1% drop in exports including crude oil and gold. Year-to-date through July the cumulative shortfall has narrowed nearly 30% versus 2025 levels as 2025 tariff front-loading unwinds, yet monthly volatility and persistent AI import demand keep the full-year outcome contested between the 700–800 billion and 800–900 billion ranges. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over the net impact of ongoing tariff measures, potential further policy shifts, and the durability of semiconductor and electronics inflows, with August figures due October 6 offering the next key data point.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$24,106 Обс.
$24,106 Обс.
Feb 27, 2027
<500B
3%
500–600B
6%
600–700B
10%
700–800B
39%
800–900B
43%
900B–1T
13%
1T–1.1T
6%
1.1T+
5%
$24,106 Обс.
$24,106 Обс.
Feb 27, 2027
<500B
$16,854 Обс.
3%
500–600B
$454 Обс.
6%
600–700B
$543 Обс.
10%
700–800B
$670 Обс.
39%
800–900B
$1,529 Обс.
43%
900B–1T
$1,469 Обс.
13%
1T–1.1T
$1,468 Обс.
6%
1.1T+
$1,119 Обс.
5%
This market will resolve according to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026, as reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the US Census Bureau (USCB) in the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026, expected to be released in February 2027.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.Recent U.S. trade data show the goods and services deficit widening to $88.6 billion in July 2026 from $71.2 billion in June, driven by a 2.8% rise in imports of computers, semiconductors, and related capital goods tied to AI infrastructure, alongside a 2.1% drop in exports including crude oil and gold. Year-to-date through July the cumulative shortfall has narrowed nearly 30% versus 2025 levels as 2025 tariff front-loading unwinds, yet monthly volatility and persistent AI import demand keep the full-year outcome contested between the 700–800 billion and 800–900 billion ranges. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over the net impact of ongoing tariff measures, potential further policy shifts, and the durability of semiconductor and electronics inflows, with August figures due October 6 offering the next key data point.
This market will resolve according to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026, as reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the US Census Bureau (USCB) in the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026, expected to be released in February 2027.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Feb 25, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
Обсяг
$24,106Дата завершення
Feb 28, 2027Ринок відкрито
Feb 25, 2026, 7:24 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026, as reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the US Census Bureau (USCB) in the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026, expected to be released in February 2027.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.Recent U.S. trade data show the goods and services deficit widening to $88.6 billion in July 2026 from $71.2 billion in June, driven by a 2.8% rise in imports of computers, semiconductors, and related capital goods tied to AI infrastructure, alongside a 2.1% drop in exports including crude oil and gold. Year-to-date through July the cumulative shortfall has narrowed nearly 30% versus 2025 levels as 2025 tariff front-loading unwinds, yet monthly volatility and persistent AI import demand keep the full-year outcome contested between the 700–800 billion and 800–900 billion ranges. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over the net impact of ongoing tariff measures, potential further policy shifts, and the durability of semiconductor and electronics inflows, with August figures due October 6 offering the next key data point.
This market will resolve according to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026, as reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the US Census Bureau (USCB) in the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026, expected to be released in February 2027.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.
Обсяг
$24,106Дата завершення
Feb 28, 2027Ринок відкрито
Feb 25, 2026, 7:24 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent U.S. trade data show the goods and services deficit widening to $88.6 billion in July 2026 from $71.2 billion in June, driven by a 2.8% rise in imports of computers, semiconductors, and related capital goods tied to AI infrastructure, alongside a 2.1% drop in exports including crude oil and gold. Year-to-date through July the cumulative shortfall has narrowed nearly 30% versus 2025 levels as 2025 tariff front-loading unwinds, yet monthly volatility and persistent AI import demand keep the full-year outcome contested between the 700–800 billion and 800–900 billion ranges. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over the net impact of ongoing tariff measures, potential further policy shifts, and the durability of semiconductor and electronics inflows, with August figures due October 6 offering the next key data point.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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