The Abbotsford-Mission provincial by-election, scheduled for September 26 with nominations closing September 5, features BC Conservative leader Kerry-Lynne Findlay seeking her first seat after Reann Gasper's resignation, alongside NDP challenger Pam Alexis in a rematch of the 2024 contest where Conservatives won 55% to 45%. Trader consensus around 48-50% for Findlay and lower shares for Alexis and CentreBC's Lakhwinder Jhaj reflects the short campaign window, recent defections of multiple Conservative MLAs citing leadership issues, and the potential for additional candidates. This early-stage fragmentation and internal party pressures sustain closely matched implied probabilities, with further candidate announcements or campaign developments on health care, housing, or party stability likely to shift positioning before advance voting begins.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtKerry-Lynne Findlay 49%
Pam Alexis 39%
Lakhwinder Jhaj 35%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 26, 2026
Kerry-Lynne Findlay
49%
Pam Alexis
39%
Lakhwinder Jhaj
35%
Kerry-Lynne Findlay 49%
Pam Alexis 39%
Lakhwinder Jhaj 35%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 26, 2026
Kerry-Lynne Findlay
$313 KL.
49%
Pam Alexis
$0 KL.
39%
Lakhwinder Jhaj
$23 KL.
35%
A by-election in the British Columbia electoral district of Abbotsford-Mission is scheduled to take place on September 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election to the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).The Abbotsford-Mission provincial by-election, scheduled for September 26 with nominations closing September 5, features BC Conservative leader Kerry-Lynne Findlay seeking her first seat after Reann Gasper's resignation, alongside NDP challenger Pam Alexis in a rematch of the 2024 contest where Conservatives won 55% to 45%. Trader consensus around 48-50% for Findlay and lower shares for Alexis and CentreBC's Lakhwinder Jhaj reflects the short campaign window, recent defections of multiple Conservative MLAs citing leadership issues, and the potential for additional candidates. This early-stage fragmentation and internal party pressures sustain closely matched implied probabilities, with further candidate announcements or campaign developments on health care, housing, or party stability likely to shift positioning before advance voting begins.
A by-election in the British Columbia electoral district of Abbotsford-Mission is scheduled to take place on September 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election to the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election to the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).
Thị trường mở: Aug 31, 2026, 3:02 PM ET
Khối lượng
$336Ngày kết thúc
Sep 26, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 31, 2026, 3:02 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://elections.bc.ca/Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...A by-election in the British Columbia electoral district of Abbotsford-Mission is scheduled to take place on September 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election to the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).The Abbotsford-Mission provincial by-election, scheduled for September 26 with nominations closing September 5, features BC Conservative leader Kerry-Lynne Findlay seeking her first seat after Reann Gasper's resignation, alongside NDP challenger Pam Alexis in a rematch of the 2024 contest where Conservatives won 55% to 45%. Trader consensus around 48-50% for Findlay and lower shares for Alexis and CentreBC's Lakhwinder Jhaj reflects the short campaign window, recent defections of multiple Conservative MLAs citing leadership issues, and the potential for additional candidates. This early-stage fragmentation and internal party pressures sustain closely matched implied probabilities, with further candidate announcements or campaign developments on health care, housing, or party stability likely to shift positioning before advance voting begins.
A by-election in the British Columbia electoral district of Abbotsford-Mission is scheduled to take place on September 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election to the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election to the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).
Khối lượng
$336Ngày kết thúc
Sep 26, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 31, 2026, 3:02 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://elections.bc.ca/Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The Abbotsford-Mission provincial by-election, scheduled for September 26 with nominations closing September 5, features BC Conservative leader Kerry-Lynne Findlay seeking her first seat after Reann Gasper's resignation, alongside NDP challenger Pam Alexis in a rematch of the 2024 contest where Conservatives won 55% to 45%. Trader consensus around 48-50% for Findlay and lower shares for Alexis and CentreBC's Lakhwinder Jhaj reflects the short campaign window, recent defections of multiple Conservative MLAs citing leadership issues, and the potential for additional candidates. This early-stage fragmentation and internal party pressures sustain closely matched implied probabilities, with further candidate announcements or campaign developments on health care, housing, or party stability likely to shift positioning before advance voting begins.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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