Incumbent Rep. Stephen Lynch leads trader consensus at 50.5% implied probability in the MA-08 Democratic primary due to his two-decade tenure and strong name recognition in the safely Democratic district, though challengers are closing the gap. Patrick Roath at 37% benefits from superior Q1 2026 fundraising ($601,000 raised), recent endorsements including College Democrats of Massachusetts on April 6 and David Hogg's Leaders We Deserve PAC, plus pointed attacks on Lynch's past votes against the ACA. Andrew Zylberfink at 33.1% shows robust cash-on-hand ($469,000), fueling a competitive three-way race absent public polls, with the September 1 primary approaching key candidate forums and voter outreach.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMA-08 Democratic Primary Winner
MA-08 Democratic Primary Winner
Stephen Lynch 45%
Andrew Zylberfink 36.8%
Patrick Roath 37%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 1, 2026
Stephen Lynch
45%
Andrew Zylberfink
37%
Patrick Roath
37%
Stephen Lynch 45%
Andrew Zylberfink 36.8%
Patrick Roath 37%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 1, 2026
Stephen Lynch
$2,104 KL.
45%
Andrew Zylberfink
$131 KL.
37%
Patrick Roath
$0 KL.
37%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Stephen Lynch leads trader consensus at 50.5% implied probability in the MA-08 Democratic primary due to his two-decade tenure and strong name recognition in the safely Democratic district, though challengers are closing the gap. Patrick Roath at 37% benefits from superior Q1 2026 fundraising ($601,000 raised), recent endorsements including College Democrats of Massachusetts on April 6 and David Hogg's Leaders We Deserve PAC, plus pointed attacks on Lynch's past votes against the ACA. Andrew Zylberfink at 33.1% shows robust cash-on-hand ($469,000), fueling a competitive three-way race absent public polls, with the September 1 primary approaching key candidate forums and voter outreach.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Thị trường mở: Mar 3, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
Khối lượng
$2,235Ngày kết thúc
Sep 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Mar 3, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Stephen Lynch leads trader consensus at 50.5% implied probability in the MA-08 Democratic primary due to his two-decade tenure and strong name recognition in the safely Democratic district, though challengers are closing the gap. Patrick Roath at 37% benefits from superior Q1 2026 fundraising ($601,000 raised), recent endorsements including College Democrats of Massachusetts on April 6 and David Hogg's Leaders We Deserve PAC, plus pointed attacks on Lynch's past votes against the ACA. Andrew Zylberfink at 33.1% shows robust cash-on-hand ($469,000), fueling a competitive three-way race absent public polls, with the September 1 primary approaching key candidate forums and voter outreach.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Khối lượng
$2,235Ngày kết thúc
Sep 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Mar 3, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Rep. Stephen Lynch leads trader consensus at 50.5% implied probability in the MA-08 Democratic primary due to his two-decade tenure and strong name recognition in the safely Democratic district, though challengers are closing the gap. Patrick Roath at 37% benefits from superior Q1 2026 fundraising ($601,000 raised), recent endorsements including College Democrats of Massachusetts on April 6 and David Hogg's Leaders We Deserve PAC, plus pointed attacks on Lynch's past votes against the ACA. Andrew Zylberfink at 33.1% shows robust cash-on-hand ($469,000), fueling a competitive three-way race absent public polls, with the September 1 primary approaching key candidate forums and voter outreach.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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