Current meteorological forecasts and climatological data indicate Mexico City daytime highs will reach the mid-20s Celsius on May 26, supporting the market-implied probability above 99% for a maximum temperature of 21°C or higher. Late-spring conditions under high pressure typically produce clear skies and strong solar heating at the high-elevation site, with official seasonal baselines from regional monitoring showing May averages near 25°C and low day-to-day variability. Ensemble model runs reinforce this outcome with minimal spread around the expected peak. An unexpected cold-front intrusion or major measurement revision remains the primary low-probability pathway that could shift the result below the threshold.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Mexico City on May 26?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 26?
21°C or higher 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$8,008 KL.
$8,008 KL.
May 26, 2026
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
Yes
21°C or higher 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$8,008 KL.
$8,008 KL.
May 26, 2026
11°C or below
$506 KL.
No
12°C
$452 KL.
No
13°C
$439 KL.
No
14°C
$459 KL.
No
15°C
$452 KL.
No
16°C
$452 KL.
No
17°C
$467 KL.
No
18°C
$463 KL.
No
19°C
$668 KL.
No
20°C
$1,633 KL.
No
21°C or higher
$2,015 KL.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological forecasts and climatological data indicate Mexico City daytime highs will reach the mid-20s Celsius on May 26, supporting the market-implied probability above 99% for a maximum temperature of 21°C or higher. Late-spring conditions under high pressure typically produce clear skies and strong solar heating at the high-elevation site, with official seasonal baselines from regional monitoring showing May averages near 25°C and low day-to-day variability. Ensemble model runs reinforce this outcome with minimal spread around the expected peak. An unexpected cold-front intrusion or major measurement revision remains the primary low-probability pathway that could shift the result below the threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 24, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Khối lượng
$8,008Ngày kết thúc
May 26, 2026Thị trường mở
May 24, 2026, 12:08 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological forecasts and climatological data indicate Mexico City daytime highs will reach the mid-20s Celsius on May 26, supporting the market-implied probability above 99% for a maximum temperature of 21°C or higher. Late-spring conditions under high pressure typically produce clear skies and strong solar heating at the high-elevation site, with official seasonal baselines from regional monitoring showing May averages near 25°C and low day-to-day variability. Ensemble model runs reinforce this outcome with minimal spread around the expected peak. An unexpected cold-front intrusion or major measurement revision remains the primary low-probability pathway that could shift the result below the threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$8,008Ngày kết thúc
May 26, 2026Thị trường mở
May 24, 2026, 12:08 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Current meteorological forecasts and climatological data indicate Mexico City daytime highs will reach the mid-20s Celsius on May 26, supporting the market-implied probability above 99% for a maximum temperature of 21°C or higher. Late-spring conditions under high pressure typically produce clear skies and strong solar heating at the high-elevation site, with official seasonal baselines from regional monitoring showing May averages near 25°C and low day-to-day variability. Ensemble model runs reinforce this outcome with minimal spread around the expected peak. An unexpected cold-front intrusion or major measurement revision remains the primary low-probability pathway that could shift the result below the threshold.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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