Recent forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Italian meteorological services point to peak daytime highs of 34–36°C in Milan on August 15 under a persistent anticyclonic regime, with clear skies and light easterly winds promoting strong solar heating above the long-term August average of roughly 29–30°C. These stable high-pressure conditions favor maximum surface warming through the afternoon, while minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island effects from the city center, and any thin high-cloud cover explain the tight clustering around the leading 34°C and 35°C outcomes. Model consensus supports limited afternoon convection risk, keeping the probability of extremes below 35°C or above 37°C modest. Updated runs ahead of the date will refine these thresholds.