Latest numerical weather models, including GFS and ECMWF runs updated September 1, indicate a maximum temperature in Milan on September 2 centered near 30°C under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and stable high pressure around 1018-1020 hPa. This consensus drives the 47% market-implied probability for exactly 30°C and 32% for 29°C, reflecting limited model spread and minimal diurnal heating potential. Historical early-September baselines near 27-28°C provide context, while the low odds above 31°C align with forecast uncertainty in peak insolation amid variable cloud cover. Traders monitor final 24-hour model updates and official Italian meteorological agency guidance for any late shifts in steering patterns or boundary-layer moisture.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Milan on September 2?
Highest temperature in Milan on September 2?
30°C 47%
29°C 30%
31°C 17%
32°C or higher 2%
MỚI
$11,296 KL.
MỚI
$11,296 KL.
Sep 2, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
30%
30°C
47%
31°C
17%
32°C or higher
2%
30°C 47%
29°C 30%
31°C 17%
32°C or higher 2%
MỚI
$11,296 KL.
MỚI
$11,296 KL.
Sep 2, 2026
22°C or below
$2,256 KL.
<1%
23°C
$478 KL.
<1%
24°C
$306 KL.
<1%
25°C
$252 KL.
<1%
26°C
$163 KL.
<1%
27°C
$41 KL.
<1%
28°C
$273 KL.
1%
29°C
$3,534 KL.
30%
30°C
$1,749 KL.
47%
31°C
$1,734 KL.
17%
32°C or higher
$509 KL.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather models, including GFS and ECMWF runs updated September 1, indicate a maximum temperature in Milan on September 2 centered near 30°C under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and stable high pressure around 1018-1020 hPa. This consensus drives the 47% market-implied probability for exactly 30°C and 32% for 29°C, reflecting limited model spread and minimal diurnal heating potential. Historical early-September baselines near 27-28°C provide context, while the low odds above 31°C align with forecast uncertainty in peak insolation amid variable cloud cover. Traders monitor final 24-hour model updates and official Italian meteorological agency guidance for any late shifts in steering patterns or boundary-layer moisture.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$11,296Ngày kết thúc
Sep 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather models, including GFS and ECMWF runs updated September 1, indicate a maximum temperature in Milan on September 2 centered near 30°C under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and stable high pressure around 1018-1020 hPa. This consensus drives the 47% market-implied probability for exactly 30°C and 32% for 29°C, reflecting limited model spread and minimal diurnal heating potential. Historical early-September baselines near 27-28°C provide context, while the low odds above 31°C align with forecast uncertainty in peak insolation amid variable cloud cover. Traders monitor final 24-hour model updates and official Italian meteorological agency guidance for any late shifts in steering patterns or boundary-layer moisture.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$11,296Ngày kết thúc
Sep 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather models, including GFS and ECMWF runs updated September 1, indicate a maximum temperature in Milan on September 2 centered near 30°C under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and stable high pressure around 1018-1020 hPa. This consensus drives the 47% market-implied probability for exactly 30°C and 32% for 29°C, reflecting limited model spread and minimal diurnal heating potential. Historical early-September baselines near 27-28°C provide context, while the low odds above 31°C align with forecast uncertainty in peak insolation amid variable cloud cover. Traders monitor final 24-hour model updates and official Italian meteorological agency guidance for any late shifts in steering patterns or boundary-layer moisture.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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