Official observations from Weather Underground at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO)—the market's resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 21, 2026, reached 62°F around midday under mostly cloudy skies with 0.65 inches of light rain and gusty winds up to 26 mph, aligning perfectly with trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 62-63°F. This outcome reflects persistent marine layer influence and cool Pacific air masses typical for mid-April in San Francisco, where historical daily highs average 63-65°F amid frequent fog and drizzle. National Weather Service data similarly reports a peak near 63°F with light rain, reinforcing the positioning. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from automated sensors or station metadata corrections, though such adjustments are infrequent post-preliminary reporting.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in San Francisco on April 21?
62-63°F 100.0%
51°F or below <1%
52-53°F <1%
54-55°F <1%
$101,526 KL.
$101,526 KL.
51°F or below
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
Yes
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70°F or higher
No
62-63°F 100.0%
51°F or below <1%
52-53°F <1%
54-55°F <1%
$101,526 KL.
$101,526 KL.
51°F or below
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
Yes
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Apr 19, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Official observations from Weather Underground at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO)—the market's resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 21, 2026, reached 62°F around midday under mostly cloudy skies with 0.65 inches of light rain and gusty winds up to 26 mph, aligning perfectly with trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 62-63°F. This outcome reflects persistent marine layer influence and cool Pacific air masses typical for mid-April in San Francisco, where historical daily highs average 63-65°F amid frequent fog and drizzle. National Weather Service data similarly reports a peak near 63°F with light rain, reinforcing the positioning. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from automated sensors or station metadata corrections, though such adjustments are infrequent post-preliminary reporting.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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