Official National Weather Service observations recorded a daily maximum of 73°F at San Francisco International Airport on September 2, 2026, driving the near-certain market-implied odds for the 72-73°F bin. Persistent marine layer clouds, light onshore flow, and trace precipitation from an early-season Pacific system suppressed afternoon warming well below the 1991-2020 September normal of roughly 70°F, consistent with regional model guidance showing limited insolation and elevated dew points. This outcome aligns with verified station data rather than forecasts. Resolution could shift only through rare post-event quality-control revisions or differences in unofficial urban heat-island readings, though NWS standards make such changes improbable.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in San Francisco on September 2?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on September 2?
72-73°F 100.0%
63°F or below <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$31,605 KL.
$31,605 KL.
Sep 2, 2026
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
100%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
<1%
72-73°F 100.0%
63°F or below <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$31,605 KL.
$31,605 KL.
Sep 2, 2026
63°F or below
$3,517 KL.
<1%
64-65°F
$1,564 KL.
<1%
66-67°F
$1,352 KL.
<1%
68-69°F
$3,341 KL.
<1%
70-71°F
$5,657 KL.
<1%
72-73°F
$4,367 KL.
100%
74-75°F
$3,000 KL.
<1%
76-77°F
$3,210 KL.
<1%
78-79°F
$2,354 KL.
<1%
80-81°F
$1,836 KL.
<1%
82°F or higher
$1,408 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations recorded a daily maximum of 73°F at San Francisco International Airport on September 2, 2026, driving the near-certain market-implied odds for the 72-73°F bin. Persistent marine layer clouds, light onshore flow, and trace precipitation from an early-season Pacific system suppressed afternoon warming well below the 1991-2020 September normal of roughly 70°F, consistent with regional model guidance showing limited insolation and elevated dew points. This outcome aligns with verified station data rather than forecasts. Resolution could shift only through rare post-event quality-control revisions or differences in unofficial urban heat-island readings, though NWS standards make such changes improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 31, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$31,605Ngày kết thúc
Sep 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 31, 2026, 7:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations recorded a daily maximum of 73°F at San Francisco International Airport on September 2, 2026, driving the near-certain market-implied odds for the 72-73°F bin. Persistent marine layer clouds, light onshore flow, and trace precipitation from an early-season Pacific system suppressed afternoon warming well below the 1991-2020 September normal of roughly 70°F, consistent with regional model guidance showing limited insolation and elevated dew points. This outcome aligns with verified station data rather than forecasts. Resolution could shift only through rare post-event quality-control revisions or differences in unofficial urban heat-island readings, though NWS standards make such changes improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$31,605Ngày kết thúc
Sep 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 31, 2026, 7:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service observations recorded a daily maximum of 73°F at San Francisco International Airport on September 2, 2026, driving the near-certain market-implied odds for the 72-73°F bin. Persistent marine layer clouds, light onshore flow, and trace precipitation from an early-season Pacific system suppressed afternoon warming well below the 1991-2020 September normal of roughly 70°F, consistent with regional model guidance showing limited insolation and elevated dew points. This outcome aligns with verified station data rather than forecasts. Resolution could shift only through rare post-event quality-control revisions or differences in unofficial urban heat-island readings, though NWS standards make such changes improbable.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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