Recent official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration point to northeasterly flow sustaining mild conditions and scattered showers over northern Taiwan on September 18, with expected daytime highs of 29–31°C and overnight lows near 23–25°C. This aligns with the market-implied probabilities, where 31°C and 32°C together exceed 70% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus on typical mid-September maxima under humid subtropical conditions. Historical September averages for Taipei hover around 30–31°C, and current model runs show limited intensification potential absent stronger southerly moisture or typhoon influences. Minor forecast revisions from updated model guidance or localized shower timing remain the main variables that could shift the recorded daily high within the narrow 30–32°C band favored by traders.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Taipei on September 18?
Highest temperature in Taipei on September 18?
31°C 45%
32°C 27%
30°C 18%
33°C 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 18, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
18%
31°C
45%
32°C
27%
33°C
6%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 45%
32°C 27%
30°C 18%
33°C 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 18, 2026
25°C or below
$138 KL.
<1%
26°C
$152 KL.
<1%
27°C
$59 KL.
1%
28°C
$179 KL.
2%
29°C
$289 KL.
5%
30°C
$947 KL.
18%
31°C
$1,482 KL.
45%
32°C
$842 KL.
27%
33°C
$1,928 KL.
6%
34°C
$171 KL.
2%
35°C or higher
$339 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration point to northeasterly flow sustaining mild conditions and scattered showers over northern Taiwan on September 18, with expected daytime highs of 29–31°C and overnight lows near 23–25°C. This aligns with the market-implied probabilities, where 31°C and 32°C together exceed 70% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus on typical mid-September maxima under humid subtropical conditions. Historical September averages for Taipei hover around 30–31°C, and current model runs show limited intensification potential absent stronger southerly moisture or typhoon influences. Minor forecast revisions from updated model guidance or localized shower timing remain the main variables that could shift the recorded daily high within the narrow 30–32°C band favored by traders.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$6,527Ngày kết thúc
Sep 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration point to northeasterly flow sustaining mild conditions and scattered showers over northern Taiwan on September 18, with expected daytime highs of 29–31°C and overnight lows near 23–25°C. This aligns with the market-implied probabilities, where 31°C and 32°C together exceed 70% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus on typical mid-September maxima under humid subtropical conditions. Historical September averages for Taipei hover around 30–31°C, and current model runs show limited intensification potential absent stronger southerly moisture or typhoon influences. Minor forecast revisions from updated model guidance or localized shower timing remain the main variables that could shift the recorded daily high within the narrow 30–32°C band favored by traders.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$6,527Ngày kết thúc
Sep 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration point to northeasterly flow sustaining mild conditions and scattered showers over northern Taiwan on September 18, with expected daytime highs of 29–31°C and overnight lows near 23–25°C. This aligns with the market-implied probabilities, where 31°C and 32°C together exceed 70% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus on typical mid-September maxima under humid subtropical conditions. Historical September averages for Taipei hover around 30–31°C, and current model runs show limited intensification potential absent stronger southerly moisture or typhoon influences. Minor forecast revisions from updated model guidance or localized shower timing remain the main variables that could shift the recorded daily high within the narrow 30–32°C band favored by traders.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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