Official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and supporting global models, including Met Office guidance, currently indicate a daytime maximum of 32–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 16 under stable high pressure, light winds, and mostly clear skies typical of late-summer coastal conditions. This consensus, reinforced by recent model runs showing minimal day-to-day variability and no significant synoptic shifts, underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 33°C (70.5%) and 32°C (19.5%). Historical August averages near 31°C provide context, while short-range uncertainty in exact peak timing or localized sea-breeze effects keeps a modest probability on 34°C. Updated IMS briefings and the next model cycle tomorrow morning represent the key near-term data points that could refine these implied probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 16?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 16?
33°C 71%
32°C 20%
34°C 9%
31°C 2%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 16, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
20%
33°C
71%
34°C
9%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 71%
32°C 20%
34°C 9%
31°C 2%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 16, 2026
29°C or below
$196 KL.
<1%
30°C
$476 KL.
1%
31°C
$167 KL.
2%
32°C
$798 KL.
20%
33°C
$945 KL.
71%
34°C
$429 KL.
9%
35°C
$215 KL.
2%
36°C
$322 KL.
<1%
37°C
$247 KL.
<1%
38°C
$129 KL.
<1%
39°C or higher
$441 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and supporting global models, including Met Office guidance, currently indicate a daytime maximum of 32–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 16 under stable high pressure, light winds, and mostly clear skies typical of late-summer coastal conditions. This consensus, reinforced by recent model runs showing minimal day-to-day variability and no significant synoptic shifts, underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 33°C (70.5%) and 32°C (19.5%). Historical August averages near 31°C provide context, while short-range uncertainty in exact peak timing or localized sea-breeze effects keeps a modest probability on 34°C. Updated IMS briefings and the next model cycle tomorrow morning represent the key near-term data points that could refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$4,364Ngày kết thúc
Aug 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and supporting global models, including Met Office guidance, currently indicate a daytime maximum of 32–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 16 under stable high pressure, light winds, and mostly clear skies typical of late-summer coastal conditions. This consensus, reinforced by recent model runs showing minimal day-to-day variability and no significant synoptic shifts, underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 33°C (70.5%) and 32°C (19.5%). Historical August averages near 31°C provide context, while short-range uncertainty in exact peak timing or localized sea-breeze effects keeps a modest probability on 34°C. Updated IMS briefings and the next model cycle tomorrow morning represent the key near-term data points that could refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$4,364Ngày kết thúc
Aug 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and supporting global models, including Met Office guidance, currently indicate a daytime maximum of 32–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 16 under stable high pressure, light winds, and mostly clear skies typical of late-summer coastal conditions. This consensus, reinforced by recent model runs showing minimal day-to-day variability and no significant synoptic shifts, underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 33°C (70.5%) and 32°C (19.5%). Historical August averages near 31°C provide context, while short-range uncertainty in exact peak timing or localized sea-breeze effects keeps a modest probability on 34°C. Updated IMS briefings and the next model cycle tomorrow morning represent the key near-term data points that could refine these implied probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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