Cook County Commissioner Donna Miller's decisive victory in the March 17 Democratic primary for the open IL-02 seat—capturing 40% against nine rivals including Jesse Jackson Jr.—has solidified trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic Party in this D+18 district, where prior incumbents won general elections by 35–58 points. Republican nominee Mike Noack advanced unopposed but faces steep historical barriers in the safely Democratic Chicago South Side and suburbs stronghold, with no public polling yet challenging the partisan lean. While low Miller fundraising cash-on-hand post-primary raises minor questions, a national Republican wave, Democratic turnout collapse, or late scandal could shift odds ahead of the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtIL-02 House Election Winner
IL-02 House Election Winner
$21,152 KL.
$21,152 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
4%
$21,152 KL.
$21,152 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$8,167 KL.
93%
Republican Party
$12,985 KL.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Cook County Commissioner Donna Miller's decisive victory in the March 17 Democratic primary for the open IL-02 seat—capturing 40% against nine rivals including Jesse Jackson Jr.—has solidified trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic Party in this D+18 district, where prior incumbents won general elections by 35–58 points. Republican nominee Mike Noack advanced unopposed but faces steep historical barriers in the safely Democratic Chicago South Side and suburbs stronghold, with no public polling yet challenging the partisan lean. While low Miller fundraising cash-on-hand post-primary raises minor questions, a national Republican wave, Democratic turnout collapse, or late scandal could shift odds ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Khối lượng
$21,152Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Cook County Commissioner Donna Miller's decisive victory in the March 17 Democratic primary for the open IL-02 seat—capturing 40% against nine rivals including Jesse Jackson Jr.—has solidified trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic Party in this D+18 district, where prior incumbents won general elections by 35–58 points. Republican nominee Mike Noack advanced unopposed but faces steep historical barriers in the safely Democratic Chicago South Side and suburbs stronghold, with no public polling yet challenging the partisan lean. While low Miller fundraising cash-on-hand post-primary raises minor questions, a national Republican wave, Democratic turnout collapse, or late scandal could shift odds ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$21,152Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Cook County Commissioner Donna Miller's decisive victory in the March 17 Democratic primary for the open IL-02 seat—capturing 40% against nine rivals including Jesse Jackson Jr.—has solidified trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic Party in this D+18 district, where prior incumbents won general elections by 35–58 points. Republican nominee Mike Noack advanced unopposed but faces steep historical barriers in the safely Democratic Chicago South Side and suburbs stronghold, with no public polling yet challenging the partisan lean. While low Miller fundraising cash-on-hand post-primary raises minor questions, a national Republican wave, Democratic turnout collapse, or late scandal could shift odds ahead of the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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