Donna Miller secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois’ 2nd Congressional District in the March 2026 primary with 40 percent of the vote in a crowded field that included former Representative Jesse Jackson Jr. The district, covering Chicago’s South Side and southern suburbs, has not elected a Republican since 1950 and carries consistent Solid Democratic ratings across major forecasters. Miller’s fundraising edge and local profile as a Cook County commissioner have reinforced her position heading into the November general election against Republican Mike Noack, a truck driver who faced no primary opposition and reported no campaign funds. Trader consensus at 97.5 percent for Miller reflects these structural and historical factors. Late developments such as a major scandal or national political realignment could theoretically narrow the margin, though no such events have emerged in recent months.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtIL-02 House Election Winner
IL-02 House Election Winner
$33,686 KL.
$33,686 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Donna Miller (D)
97%
Michael Noack (R)
1%
$33,686 KL.
$33,686 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Donna Miller (D)
$14,437 KL.
97%
Michael Noack (R)
$19,249 KL.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Donna Miller secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois’ 2nd Congressional District in the March 2026 primary with 40 percent of the vote in a crowded field that included former Representative Jesse Jackson Jr. The district, covering Chicago’s South Side and southern suburbs, has not elected a Republican since 1950 and carries consistent Solid Democratic ratings across major forecasters. Miller’s fundraising edge and local profile as a Cook County commissioner have reinforced her position heading into the November general election against Republican Mike Noack, a truck driver who faced no primary opposition and reported no campaign funds. Trader consensus at 97.5 percent for Miller reflects these structural and historical factors. Late developments such as a major scandal or national political realignment could theoretically narrow the margin, though no such events have emerged in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Khối lượng
$33,686Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Donna Miller secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois’ 2nd Congressional District in the March 2026 primary with 40 percent of the vote in a crowded field that included former Representative Jesse Jackson Jr. The district, covering Chicago’s South Side and southern suburbs, has not elected a Republican since 1950 and carries consistent Solid Democratic ratings across major forecasters. Miller’s fundraising edge and local profile as a Cook County commissioner have reinforced her position heading into the November general election against Republican Mike Noack, a truck driver who faced no primary opposition and reported no campaign funds. Trader consensus at 97.5 percent for Miller reflects these structural and historical factors. Late developments such as a major scandal or national political realignment could theoretically narrow the margin, though no such events have emerged in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$33,686Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Donna Miller secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois’ 2nd Congressional District in the March 2026 primary with 40 percent of the vote in a crowded field that included former Representative Jesse Jackson Jr. The district, covering Chicago’s South Side and southern suburbs, has not elected a Republican since 1950 and carries consistent Solid Democratic ratings across major forecasters. Miller’s fundraising edge and local profile as a Cook County commissioner have reinforced her position heading into the November general election against Republican Mike Noack, a truck driver who faced no primary opposition and reported no campaign funds. Trader consensus at 97.5 percent for Miller reflects these structural and historical factors. Late developments such as a major scandal or national political realignment could theoretically narrow the margin, though no such events have emerged in recent months.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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