**Forecast models from multiple sources point to a minimum temperature near 16–17 °C in Ankara on September 3 under clear skies and light northeasterly winds.** Stable high pressure supports strong nocturnal radiative cooling after daytime highs of 27–31 °C, with low humidity (around 35–45 %) and minimal cloud cover enhancing heat loss. These conditions align closely with early-September climatology, where average lows hover near 15 °C. Traders appear split between scenarios of enhanced cooling (favoring 14 °C or below) versus warmer boundary-layer air or slight model disagreement pushing values higher, creating the tight contest between the 48 % and 44.5 % leading outcomes. New model runs and any shifts in wind or moisture will likely drive the next market moves ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Ankara on September 3?
24°C or higher 89%
14°C or below 48%
18°C 48%
21°C 48%
14°C or below
48%
15°C
27%
16°C
27%
17°C
26%
18°C
48%
19°C
22%
20°C
22%
21°C
48%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
89%
24°C or higher 89%
14°C or below 48%
18°C 48%
21°C 48%
14°C or below
48%
15°C
27%
16°C
27%
17°C
26%
18°C
48%
19°C
22%
20°C
22%
21°C
48%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
89%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from multiple sources point to a minimum temperature near 16–17 °C in Ankara on September 3 under clear skies and light northeasterly winds.** Stable high pressure supports strong nocturnal radiative cooling after daytime highs of 27–31 °C, with low humidity (around 35–45 %) and minimal cloud cover enhancing heat loss. These conditions align closely with early-September climatology, where average lows hover near 15 °C. Traders appear split between scenarios of enhanced cooling (favoring 14 °C or below) versus warmer boundary-layer air or slight model disagreement pushing values higher, creating the tight contest between the 48 % and 44.5 % leading outcomes. New model runs and any shifts in wind or moisture will likely drive the next market moves ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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