**Clear skies and light northerly winds are the main drivers behind the tight clustering of market odds around 16–17°C for Ankara’s September 2 minimum.** Numerical weather models (including consensus runs from sources like YR and PredictWind) project overnight radiative cooling under stable high pressure, with temperatures falling to roughly 16–17°C by dawn after daytime highs near 30–31°C. Dry air, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover enhance heat loss from the surface at Ankara’s ~870–900 m elevation, while light 2–5 m/s winds limit turbulent mixing that could otherwise raise the low. Historical early-September climatology supports this range, and the absence of incoming fronts or moisture keeps the forecast stable. Minor ensemble spread in exact timing of the minimum creates the close probabilities between 14–18°C, with 17°C edging ahead as the modal outcome in current model guidance.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Ankara on September 2?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on September 2?
14°C 98%
15°C 98%
17°C 97%
18°C 95%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 2, 2026
13°C or below
94%
14°C
98%
15°C
98%
16°C
52%
17°C
97%
18°C
95%
19°C
95%
20°C
13%
21°C
5%
22°C
13%
23°C or higher
2%
14°C 98%
15°C 98%
17°C 97%
18°C 95%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 2, 2026
13°C or below
$0 KL.
94%
14°C
$0 KL.
98%
15°C
$0 KL.
98%
16°C
$0 KL.
52%
17°C
$0 KL.
97%
18°C
$5 KL.
95%
19°C
$5 KL.
95%
20°C
$5 KL.
13%
21°C
$5 KL.
5%
22°C
$5 KL.
13%
23°C or higher
$5 KL.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies and light northerly winds are the main drivers behind the tight clustering of market odds around 16–17°C for Ankara’s September 2 minimum.** Numerical weather models (including consensus runs from sources like YR and PredictWind) project overnight radiative cooling under stable high pressure, with temperatures falling to roughly 16–17°C by dawn after daytime highs near 30–31°C. Dry air, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover enhance heat loss from the surface at Ankara’s ~870–900 m elevation, while light 2–5 m/s winds limit turbulent mixing that could otherwise raise the low.
Historical early-September climatology supports this range, and the absence of incoming fronts or moisture keeps the forecast stable. Minor ensemble spread in exact timing of the minimum creates the close probabilities between 14–18°C, with 17°C edging ahead as the modal outcome in current model guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$30Ngày kết thúc
Sep 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies and light northerly winds are the main drivers behind the tight clustering of market odds around 16–17°C for Ankara’s September 2 minimum.** Numerical weather models (including consensus runs from sources like YR and PredictWind) project overnight radiative cooling under stable high pressure, with temperatures falling to roughly 16–17°C by dawn after daytime highs near 30–31°C. Dry air, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover enhance heat loss from the surface at Ankara’s ~870–900 m elevation, while light 2–5 m/s winds limit turbulent mixing that could otherwise raise the low.
Historical early-September climatology supports this range, and the absence of incoming fronts or moisture keeps the forecast stable. Minor ensemble spread in exact timing of the minimum creates the close probabilities between 14–18°C, with 17°C edging ahead as the modal outcome in current model guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$30Ngày kết thúc
Sep 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Clear skies and light northerly winds are the main drivers behind the tight clustering of market odds around 16–17°C for Ankara’s September 2 minimum.** Numerical weather models (including consensus runs from sources like YR and PredictWind) project overnight radiative cooling under stable high pressure, with temperatures falling to roughly 16–17°C by dawn after daytime highs near 30–31°C. Dry air, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover enhance heat loss from the surface at Ankara’s ~870–900 m elevation, while light 2–5 m/s winds limit turbulent mixing that could otherwise raise the low. Historical early-September climatology supports this range, and the absence of incoming fronts or moisture keeps the forecast stable. Minor ensemble spread in exact timing of the minimum creates the close probabilities between 14–18°C, with 17°C edging ahead as the modal outcome in current model guidance.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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