Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate an approaching rain system will bring cloudy skies, high humidity near 85-90%, and light to moderate precipitation to Chongqing on September 16, suppressing daytime heating and limiting radiative cooling overnight. This setup favors a daily minimum near 19-21°C, cooler than the September climatological average low of around 22°C, as persistent cloud cover and northerly flow advect slightly cooler air. Trader sentiment remains closely divided because ensemble model runs show modest spread in exact overnight lows and timing of heaviest rain, with the 15°C-or-below and 25°C-or-higher bins capturing tail risks from forecast shifts. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles will likely tighten the range ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Chongqing on September 16?
15°C or below 85%
21°C 40%
16°C 38%
17°C 38%
15°C or below
85%
16°C
38%
17°C
38%
18°C
38%
19°C
24%
20°C
30%
21°C
40%
22°C
38%
23°C
38%
24°C
38%
25°C or higher
1%
15°C or below 85%
21°C 40%
16°C 38%
17°C 38%
15°C or below
85%
16°C
38%
17°C
38%
18°C
38%
19°C
24%
20°C
30%
21°C
40%
22°C
38%
23°C
38%
24°C
38%
25°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate an approaching rain system will bring cloudy skies, high humidity near 85-90%, and light to moderate precipitation to Chongqing on September 16, suppressing daytime heating and limiting radiative cooling overnight. This setup favors a daily minimum near 19-21°C, cooler than the September climatological average low of around 22°C, as persistent cloud cover and northerly flow advect slightly cooler air. Trader sentiment remains closely divided because ensemble model runs show modest spread in exact overnight lows and timing of heaviest rain, with the 15°C-or-below and 25°C-or-higher bins capturing tail risks from forecast shifts. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles will likely tighten the range ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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