Recent forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate overnight lows in Chongqing on September 19 are most likely to settle near 21–23°C amid persistent cloud cover, light variable winds, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. High humidity levels near 80–95% and the absence of a strong cold front or clear-sky conditions support this range, consistent with late-September climatology for the subtropical basin where average September lows hover around 21–22°C. Market-implied odds favoring 21°C reflect trader assessment of these stable atmospheric patterns and limited model spread, while lower-probability outcomes below 20°C or above 25°C would require unexpected shifts in steering flow or precipitation timing not currently indicated in ensemble guidance. Updated model runs expected overnight could refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Chongqing on September 19?
21°C 53%
17°C or below 48%
27°C or higher 48%
22°C 40%
17°C or below
48%
18°C
21%
19°C
39%
20°C
21%
21°C
53%
22°C
40%
23°C
39%
24°C
38%
25°C
39%
26°C
39%
27°C or higher
48%
21°C 53%
17°C or below 48%
27°C or higher 48%
22°C 40%
17°C or below
48%
18°C
21%
19°C
39%
20°C
21%
21°C
53%
22°C
40%
23°C
39%
24°C
38%
25°C
39%
26°C
39%
27°C or higher
48%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate overnight lows in Chongqing on September 19 are most likely to settle near 21–23°C amid persistent cloud cover, light variable winds, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. High humidity levels near 80–95% and the absence of a strong cold front or clear-sky conditions support this range, consistent with late-September climatology for the subtropical basin where average September lows hover around 21–22°C. Market-implied odds favoring 21°C reflect trader assessment of these stable atmospheric patterns and limited model spread, while lower-probability outcomes below 20°C or above 25°C would require unexpected shifts in steering flow or precipitation timing not currently indicated in ensemble guidance. Updated model runs expected overnight could refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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