Current forecast models from agencies tracking subtropical South China conditions point to a Guangzhou minimum near 27°C on August 29, with limited overnight radiative cooling from high humidity, scattered showers, and light variable winds. This keeps the 24–28°C outcomes tightly clustered around 25–26.5% implied probability as traders weigh small model differences in cloud cover and precipitation timing. Typical late-August climatology shows similar lows, but urban effects and steering patterns introduce modest uncertainty that could shift the exact reading by 1–2°C. Resolution hinges on official station data at the close of the 24-hour period.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 29?
22°C 49%
23°C 49%
30°C 49%
26°C 27%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 29, 2026
21°C or below
5%
22°C
49%
23°C
49%
24°C
26%
25°C
26%
26°C
27%
27°C
27%
28°C
26%
29°C
25%
30°C
49%
31°C or higher
2%
22°C 49%
23°C 49%
30°C 49%
26°C 27%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 29, 2026
21°C or below
$265 KL.
5%
22°C
$5 KL.
49%
23°C
$5 KL.
49%
24°C
$26 KL.
26%
25°C
$0 KL.
26%
26°C
$0 KL.
27%
27°C
$0 KL.
27%
28°C
$6 KL.
26%
29°C
$0 KL.
25%
30°C
$5 KL.
49%
31°C or higher
$5 KL.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies tracking subtropical South China conditions point to a Guangzhou minimum near 27°C on August 29, with limited overnight radiative cooling from high humidity, scattered showers, and light variable winds. This keeps the 24–28°C outcomes tightly clustered around 25–26.5% implied probability as traders weigh small model differences in cloud cover and precipitation timing. Typical late-August climatology shows similar lows, but urban effects and steering patterns introduce modest uncertainty that could shift the exact reading by 1–2°C. Resolution hinges on official station data at the close of the 24-hour period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Khối lượng
$317Ngày kết thúc
Aug 29, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies tracking subtropical South China conditions point to a Guangzhou minimum near 27°C on August 29, with limited overnight radiative cooling from high humidity, scattered showers, and light variable winds. This keeps the 24–28°C outcomes tightly clustered around 25–26.5% implied probability as traders weigh small model differences in cloud cover and precipitation timing. Typical late-August climatology shows similar lows, but urban effects and steering patterns introduce modest uncertainty that could shift the exact reading by 1–2°C. Resolution hinges on official station data at the close of the 24-hour period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$317Ngày kết thúc
Aug 29, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies tracking subtropical South China conditions point to a Guangzhou minimum near 27°C on August 29, with limited overnight radiative cooling from high humidity, scattered showers, and light variable winds. This keeps the 24–28°C outcomes tightly clustered around 25–26.5% implied probability as traders weigh small model differences in cloud cover and precipitation timing. Typical late-August climatology shows similar lows, but urban effects and steering patterns introduce modest uncertainty that could shift the exact reading by 1–2°C. Resolution hinges on official station data at the close of the 24-hour period.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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