Latest forecast models from regional meteorological agencies project an overnight low near 26–27 °C for Guangzhou on September 17, driven by light southerly winds, high humidity near 70 %, and partial cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Subtropical conditions typical of mid-September maintain elevated minimums, with historical averages around 24 °C and rare drops below 20 °C absent strong cold-air intrusions or clear, calm nights. Traders appear split between consensus model runs favoring the mid-20s and scenarios allowing brief cooling under clearer skies or shifting wind patterns. Upcoming evening observations and any revised model guidance on cloud trends or dew-point changes could shift implied probabilities before final resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 17?
20°C or below 97%
24°C 20%
22°C 13%
23°C 10%
20°C or below
97%
21°C
9%
22°C
13%
23°C
10%
24°C
20%
25°C
47%
26°C
47%
27°C
51%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
20°C or below 97%
24°C 20%
22°C 13%
23°C 10%
20°C or below
97%
21°C
9%
22°C
13%
23°C
10%
24°C
20%
25°C
47%
26°C
47%
27°C
51%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast models from regional meteorological agencies project an overnight low near 26–27 °C for Guangzhou on September 17, driven by light southerly winds, high humidity near 70 %, and partial cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Subtropical conditions typical of mid-September maintain elevated minimums, with historical averages around 24 °C and rare drops below 20 °C absent strong cold-air intrusions or clear, calm nights. Traders appear split between consensus model runs favoring the mid-20s and scenarios allowing brief cooling under clearer skies or shifting wind patterns. Upcoming evening observations and any revised model guidance on cloud trends or dew-point changes could shift implied probabilities before final resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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