Recent forecast guidance from models including GFS and local runs shows Helsinki overnight lows likely settling between 9–13 °C on September 10, keeping market-implied odds tightly clustered around those thresholds. Variable cloud cover and light southwesterly winds limit radiative cooling, while the moderating influence of the Baltic Sea and residual moisture from scattered showers further narrow the expected minimum. Clearer breaks could allow temperatures to dip toward 9 °C, whereas persistent low stratus or stronger mixing favors readings near 12–13 °C. Historical climatology places the September 10 average low near 10 °C, underscoring how small shifts in boundary-layer conditions drive the current tight probability distribution ahead of final observational data.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Helsinki on September 10?
13°C 46%
12°C 45%
9°C 45%
11°C 26%
7°C or below
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
45%
10°C
16%
11°C
26%
12°C
45%
13°C
46%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
13°C 46%
12°C 45%
9°C 45%
11°C 26%
7°C or below
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
45%
10°C
16%
11°C
26%
12°C
45%
13°C
46%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from models including GFS and local runs shows Helsinki overnight lows likely settling between 9–13 °C on September 10, keeping market-implied odds tightly clustered around those thresholds. Variable cloud cover and light southwesterly winds limit radiative cooling, while the moderating influence of the Baltic Sea and residual moisture from scattered showers further narrow the expected minimum. Clearer breaks could allow temperatures to dip toward 9 °C, whereas persistent low stratus or stronger mixing favors readings near 12–13 °C. Historical climatology places the September 10 average low near 10 °C, underscoring how small shifts in boundary-layer conditions drive the current tight probability distribution ahead of final observational data.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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